Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 Kiziltepe Football Stadium

Erciyes 38

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mazidagi play Erciyes 38 in the 3. Lig Group 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mazidagi averaged 1.03 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Erciyes 38 averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Mazidagi won 1, Erciyes 38 won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 27, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Mazidagi and 1.13 for Erciyes 38. This points to a Mazidagi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Mazidagi

35%

Draws

32%

Erciyes 38

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mazidagi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Mazidagi picked up more points recently compared to Erciyes 38.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 34%

Over 3.5 Goals 20%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Mazidagi Clean Sheet 21%

Erciyes 38 Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mazidagi	Erciyes 38
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	11	12
Draws	12	10
Losses	7	9
Goals Scored	1.03	1.42
Goals Conceded	0.8	1.23
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 3. Lig Group 1

Erciyes 38 vs Mazidagi

Possession: 41% - 44% Cards: 0 - 4

2:0

Apr 23, 2026 3. Lig Group 1

Mazidagi vs Erciyes 38

Possession: 57% - 58% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Mar 25, 2026 3. Lig Group 2

Mazidagi vs Erciyes 38

Possession: 43% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Nov 30, 2025 3. Lig Group 2

Erciyes 38 vs Mazidagi

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 4 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mazidagi Compare

Top Goalscorer Elkatmis M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Erciyes 38 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yasak C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazidagi 34 / 100

Erciyes 38 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mazidagi Erciyes 38

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mazidagi or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +21.4%

3.57

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mazidagi attacking → ← attacking Erciyes 38

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazidagi scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Erciyes 38 let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Mazidagi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Erciyes 38 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 46

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00