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Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs MKS Mlawa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki host MKS Mlawa in the III Liga - Group I. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. MKS Mlawa have shipped 1.97 goals a game lately, while Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki have conceded 1.72 and scored 2.31. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (2.44 xG vs 2.19) point toward Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
20%
Draws
29%
MKS Mlawa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to MKS Mlawa lately — more wins on the board than Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki.
  • Win probability leans Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%
MKS Mlawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki MKS Mlawa
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 15
Draws 8 3
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.31 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 56 / 100
MKS Mlawa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki MKS Mlawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: MKS Mlawa conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

MKS Mlawa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki VS MKS Mlawa
2.13 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

(Home)
31 Oct
LKS Lomza
2 : 3
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
24 Oct
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 1
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
18 Oct
KTS Weszlo
3 : 2
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
10 Oct
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1 : 4
Pelikan
03 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 1
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6

MKS Mlawa

(Away)
31 Oct
MKS Mlawa
1 : 4
Widzew Lodz II
24 Oct
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 1
MKS Mlawa
17 Oct
MKS Mlawa
3 : 2
Lidzbark Warmimski
10 Oct
Olimpia Elblag
2 : 1
MKS Mlawa
03 Oct
MKS Mlawa
2 : 4
Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 15 10 2 3 30:17 32
2 Suwalki 15 9 4 2 30:15 31
3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 15 8 3 4 36:28 27
4 Swit Mazowiecki 15 8 2 5 28:22 26
5 Zabkovia Zabki 15 7 4 4 29:23 25
6 Warta Sieradz 15 7 4 4 25:22 25
7 Plock II 15 7 4 4 29:24 25
8 Pelikan 15 7 3 5 25:22 24
9 Olimpia Zambrow 15 6 3 6 31:31 21
10 Jagiellonia II 15 5 5 5 27:27 20
11 Widzew Lodz II 15 5 4 6 28:25 19
12 LKS Lodz II 15 5 3 7 27:30 18
13 Olimpia Elblag 15 5 3 7 19:24 18
14 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 15 5 2 8 25:30 17
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 15 4 3 8 25:29 15
16 MKS Mlawa 15 4 2 9 28:41 14
17 Troszyn 15 3 5 7 17:30 14
18 LKS Lomza 15 0 4 11 16:35 4
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)