Sport Picks
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Pelikan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group I 
Match Events
16'
16'
32'
32'
Sauczek C.
35'
35'
Rybus M.
AI Match Summary
Pelikan in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pelikan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pelikan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki have won more games recently than Pelikan.
- Pelikan are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 16%
Pelikan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | Pelikan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.24 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Pelikan
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Compare
Top Goalscorer Sauczek C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Pelikan Compare
Top Goalscorer Rybus M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Rozniatowski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 15 / 100
Pelikan 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Pelikan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pelikan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Defensive concern: Pelikan conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki VS Pelikan
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
(Home) 10 Oct
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1 : 4 Pelikan
03 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 1 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
26 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Suwalki
19 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 2 Plock II
11 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
2 : 3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1 : 4 Pelikan
26 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Suwalki
19 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 2 Plock II
05 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
5 : 0 Olimpia Zambrow
22 Aug
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
2 : 2 Olimpia Elblag
Page 1 of 3
Pelikan
(Away) 10 Oct
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1 : 4 Pelikan
03 Oct
Pelikan
1 : 1 Widzew Lodz II
26 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 3 Pelikan
19 Sept
Pelikan
1 : 0 Lidzbark Warmimski
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0 Pelikan
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1 : 4 Pelikan
26 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 3 Pelikan
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0 Pelikan
29 Aug
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 1 Pelikan
19 Aug
Jagiellonia II
3 : 0 Pelikan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTS Weszlo | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26:10 | 29 |
| 2 | Suwalki | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:11 | 25 |
| 3 | Pelikan | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 28:22 | 21 |
| 5 | Plock II | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24:19 | 21 |
| 6 | Swit Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Zabkovia Zabki | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 24:22 | 16 |
| 9 | Olimpia Elblag | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:21 | 16 |
| 10 | Warta Sieradz | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:19 | 15 |
| 11 | LKS Lodz II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Widzew Lodz II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 21:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Olimpia Zambrow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 14 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21:23 | 13 |
| 15 | Lidzbark Warmimski | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | MKS Mlawa | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 23:34 | 10 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13:26 | 7 |
| 18 | LKS Lomza | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12:28 | 3 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
