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Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Plock II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Sauczek C.
43' Event
Rogowski N.
55' Event
Sauczek C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
20%
Draws
40%
Plock II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Plock II have won more games recently than Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki.
  • Win probability leans Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 11%
Plock II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Plock II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.24 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Plock II
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Sauczek C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gilant A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Plock II Compare

Top Goalscorer Rogowski N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Misiak P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 74 / 100
Plock II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Plock II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Plock II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Solid form: Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki VS Plock II
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

(Home)
10 Oct
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1 : 4
Pelikan
03 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 1
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
26 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
0 : 2
Suwalki
19 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 2
Plock II
11 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
2 : 3
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6

Plock II

(Away)
10 Oct
Plock II
2 : 1
Troszyn
03 Oct
Suwalki
1 : 0
Plock II
25 Sept
Plock II
2 : 1
Jagiellonia II
19 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 2
Plock II
12 Sept
Plock II
2 : 2
LKS Lodz II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Suwalki 12 7 4 1 22:11 25
3 Pelikan 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 12 6 3 3 28:22 21
5 Plock II 12 6 3 3 24:19 21
6 Swit Mazowiecki 12 6 2 4 22:19 20
7 Zabkovia Zabki 11 5 2 4 21:20 17
8 Jagiellonia II 11 4 4 3 24:22 16
9 Olimpia Elblag 12 5 1 6 18:21 16
10 Warta Sieradz 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 Widzew Lodz II 10 4 2 4 21:18 14
12 LKS Lodz II 11 4 2 5 23:21 14
13 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
14 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 12 3 3 6 19:24 12
16 MKS Mlawa 12 3 1 8 23:34 10
17 Troszyn 11 1 4 6 13:26 7
18 LKS Lomza 12 0 3 9 12:28 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)