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Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Suwalki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Rejterada K.
47' Event
Kucharczyk O.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I game between Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki and Suwalki finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Suwalki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
20%
Draws
52%
Suwalki
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Suwalki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Suwalki carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 13%
Suwalki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Suwalki
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 17
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.24 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Suwalki
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Suwalki Compare

Top Goalscorer Rejterada K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kucharczyk O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 75 / 100
Suwalki 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Suwalki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Suwalki conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki VS Suwalki
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

(Home)
10 Oct
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1 : 4
Pelikan
03 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 1
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
26 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
0 : 2
Suwalki
19 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 2
Plock II
11 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
2 : 3
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
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Suwalki

(Away)
09 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 3
Suwalki
03 Oct
Suwalki
1 : 0
Plock II
26 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
0 : 2
Suwalki
20 Sept
Suwalki
6 : 3
Widzew Lodz II
12 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 1
Suwalki
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 12 9 2 1 26:10 29
2 Suwalki 12 7 4 1 22:11 25
3 Pelikan 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 12 6 3 3 28:22 21
5 Plock II 12 6 3 3 24:19 21
6 Swit Mazowiecki 12 6 2 4 22:19 20
7 Zabkovia Zabki 11 5 2 4 21:20 17
8 Jagiellonia II 11 4 4 3 24:22 16
9 Olimpia Elblag 12 5 1 6 18:21 16
10 Warta Sieradz 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 LKS Lodz II 11 4 2 5 23:21 14
12 Widzew Lodz II 11 4 2 5 21:20 14
13 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
14 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 12 3 3 6 19:24 12
16 MKS Mlawa 12 3 1 8 23:34 10
17 Troszyn 11 1 4 6 13:26 7
18 LKS Lomza 12 0 3 9 12:28 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)