Sport Picks

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland

III Liga - Group I

Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki host Tomaszow Mazowiecki in the III Liga - Group I. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Tomaszow Mazowiecki have shipped 2.07 goals a game lately, while Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki have conceded 1.55 and scored 2.24. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 2.19 vs 1.63, favoring Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

15%

Draws

26%

Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki carry the better recent record into this one.
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki are the model's pick here, at 50%.
Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 14%

Tomaszow Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	12	10
Draws	9	6
Losses	8	14
Goals Scored	2.24	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.55	2.07
Expected Goals (xG)	2.19	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 48 / 100

Tomaszow Mazowiecki 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Tomaszow Mazowiecki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Tomaszow Mazowiecki conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Tomaszow Mazowiecki lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki VS Tomaszow Mazowiecki

2.25 Goals Scored 1.75

1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13

100% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 75%

63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History