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Mbabane Swall. vs Madlenya Prediction & H2H Stats

Eswatini Eswatini

Swazi MTN Premier League 2024/2025
Mbabane Swall. Logo

Mbabane Swall.

3 - 0
FT
Madlenya Logo

Madlenya

Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Ndoye
78' Event
Mazibuko N.
87' Event
Mazibuko N.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mbabane Swall. in this Swazi MTN Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mbabane Swall..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Mbabane Swall.
30%
Draws
41%
Madlenya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Madlenya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Madlenya haven't matched Mbabane Swall.'s recent run of results.
  • Mbabane Swall. are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Swazi MTN Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mbabane Swall. here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Mbabane Swall. Clean Sheet 20%
Madlenya Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mbabane Swall. Madlenya
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 5
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.13 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.11 0.72
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Swazi MTN Premier League
Mbabane Swall. vs Madlenya
3:0
Oct 2, 2024 Swazi MTN Premier League
Madlenya vs Mbabane Swall.
0:1
Feb 3, 2024 Swazi MTN Premier League
Mbabane Swall. vs Madlenya
4:0
Nov 1, 2023 Swazi MTN Premier League
Madlenya vs Mbabane Swall.
0:0
Mar 4, 2023 Swazi MTN Premier League
Mbabane Swall. vs Madlenya
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mbabane Swall. Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndoye
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mazibuko N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.56

Madlenya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mbabane Swall. 42 / 100
Madlenya 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mbabane Swall. Madlenya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mbabane Swall. found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Madlenya conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Mbabane Swall. went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mbabane Swall. VS Madlenya
1.63 Goals Scored 0.8
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.6
63% Over 1.5 40%
38% Over 2.5 20%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mbabane Swall.

(Home)
19 Sept
Ubombo Sugar
1 : 0
Mbabane Swall.
23 May
Mbabane Swall.
2 : 0
Sisonkhe
20 May
Mbabane Swall.
1 : 1
Moneni Pirates
17 May
Mbabane Highlanders
1 : 0
Mbabane Swall.
06 May
Manzini Sea Birds
0 : 0
Mbabane Swall.
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Madlenya

(Away)
19 Sept
Tabankulu
1 : 1
Madlenya
14 Jun
Magwanyana
2 : 1
Madlenya
10 Jun
Amawele
0 : 1
Madlenya
06 Jun
Madlenya
1 : 0
Viva Stumbo
15 Jun
Madlenya
0 : 1
Tabankulu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nsingizini Hotspurs 26 19 3 4 44:14 60
2 Royal Leopards 26 17 8 1 58:17 59
3 Young Buffaloes 26 17 3 6 39:20 54
4 Green Mamba 26 15 7 4 44:16 52
5 Moneni Pirates 26 11 8 7 35:29 41
6 Mbabane Swall. 26 9 8 9 27:22 35
7 Ubombo Sugar 26 9 8 9 31:37 35
8 Mbabane Highlanders 26 8 9 9 27:30 33
9 Ezulwini 26 8 6 12 34:37 30
10 Manzini Sea Birds 26 7 7 12 29:33 28
11 Sisonkhe 26 7 2 17 17:47 23
12 Rangers FC 26 6 4 16 32:43 22
13 Sidvwashini United 26 2 10 14 19:53 16
14 Madlenya 26 3 5 18 16:54 14
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Swazi MTN Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)