Sport Picks
Mbale Heroes vs Iganga United
Uganda
Big League Mbale Municipal Stadium 
AI Match Summary
Mbale Heroes play Iganga United in the Big League. Iganga United are favorites here. Recently, Mbale Heroes averaged 0.67 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. Iganga United averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. In past meetings, Mbale Heroes won 0, Iganga United won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 6, 2026 ended 2:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Mbale Heroes and 1.38 for Iganga United. This points to a Iganga United double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Mbale Heroes picked up more points recently compared to Iganga United.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 1.38 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mbale Heroes | Iganga United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 19 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.23 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.13 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mbale Heroes scored in 43% of their last 30 games.
Iganga United let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 4.50 goals.
Mbale Heroes went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.
Iganga United lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blacks Power | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 35:18 | 55 |
| 2 | Ntugasaze | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 42:22 | 53 |
| 3 | Kataka | 30 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 40:26 | 51 |
| 4 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 36:22 | 51 |
| 5 | Paidha Black Angels | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 33:23 | 50 |
| 6 | Bunyaruguru | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 31:25 | 43 |
| 7 | Young Elephant | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 44:40 | 42 |
| 8 | Kiyinda Boys | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 40:31 | 40 |
| 9 | Iganga United | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 10 | Catda | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 24:32 | 37 |
| 11 | Kaaro Karungi | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 26:30 | 36 |
| 12 | Onduparaka | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 24:32 | 36 |
| 13 | Nebbi Central | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 35:42 | 34 |
| 14 | Bright Stars | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 25:31 | 32 |
| 15 | Wakiso Giants | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 31:48 | 31 |
| 16 | Mbale Heroes | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 14:67 | 17 |