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Mbale Heroes vs Iganga United Prediction & H2H Stats

Uganda Uganda

Big League 2025/2026 Mbale Municipal Stadium, Mbale
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AI Match Summary

Iganga United in this Big League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iganga United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mbale Heroes
15%
Draws
85%
Iganga United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iganga United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Iganga United lately — more wins on the board than Mbale Heroes.
  • Win probability leans Iganga United's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Mbale Heroes Clean Sheet 11%
Iganga United Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mbale Heroes Iganga United
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.67 1
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Big League
Mbale Heroes vs Iganga United
2:6
Sep 28, 2025 Big League
Iganga United vs Mbale Heroes
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mbale Heroes 10 / 100
Iganga United 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mbale Heroes Iganga United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iganga United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Iganga United let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Mbale Heroes's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Iganga United's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mbale Heroes VS Iganga United
0.5 Goals Scored 1
2.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mbale Heroes

(Home)
06 Jun
Mbale Heroes
2 : 6
Iganga United
24 May
Blacks Power
4 : 0
Mbale Heroes
17 May
Young Elephant
7 : 0
Mbale Heroes
09 May
Mbale Heroes
0 : 1
Onduparaka
03 May
Nebbi Central
3 : 0
Mbale Heroes
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Iganga United

(Away)
27 Sept
Iganga United
1 : 0
Pakwach Young Stars
06 Jun
Mbale Heroes
2 : 6
Iganga United
24 May
Iganga United
3 : 0
Nebbi Central
17 May
Bunyaruguru
2 : 0
Iganga United
10 May
Iganga United
1 : 1
Bright Stars
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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