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Mbao vs Lipuli

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Waziri J.
52' Event
Waziri J.

AI Match Summary

Mbao in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mbao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Mbao
20%
Draws
33%
Lipuli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mbao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mbao lately — more wins on the board than Lipuli.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Mbao taking it.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Mbao Clean Sheet 68%
Lipuli Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mbao Lipuli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0.97 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbao vs Lipuli
2:0
Dec 30, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Mbao
3:0
Mar 9, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Mbao
1:0
Oct 24, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbao vs Lipuli
1:3
Apr 6, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbao vs Lipuli
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mbao Compare

Top Goalscorer Waziri J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Lipuli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mbao 95 / 100
Lipuli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mbao Lipuli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mbao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lipuli has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mbao stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Mbao scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mbao VS Lipuli
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mbao

(Home)
01 Aug
Mbao
4 : 2
Singida Black Stars
29 Jul
Singida Black Stars
2 : 0
Mbao
26 Jul
Mbao
2 : 0
Ndanda
22 Jul
Mbao
3 : 0
Namungo
19 Jul
JKT Tanzania
1 : 1
Mbao
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Lipuli

(Away)
26 Jul
Lipuli
0 : 1
Young Africans
23 Jul
Lipuli
1 : 0
Ruvu Shooting
19 Jul
Lipuli
1 : 1
Azam
14 Jul
Lipuli
2 : 0
Kinondoni MC
09 Jul
Alliance
2 : 0
Lipuli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 38 27 7 4 78:21 88
2 Young Africans 38 19 15 4 45:28 72
3 Azam 38 20 10 8 52:26 70
4 Namungo 38 17 13 8 46:37 64
5 Polisi Tanzania 38 15 10 13 37:35 55
6 JKT Tanzania 38 13 15 10 34:32 54
7 Coastal Union 38 14 11 13 33:30 53
8 Kagera Sugar 38 15 7 16 44:41 52
9 Biashara Mara United 38 12 14 12 29:27 50
10 Tanzania Prisons 38 10 19 9 35:30 49
11 Mwadui 38 12 11 15 39:45 47
12 Ruvu Shooting 38 12 11 15 34:42 47
13 Kinondoni MC 38 13 7 18 35:47 46
14 Mtibwa Sugar 38 11 12 15 30:34 45
15 Mbeya City 38 12 9 17 33:42 45
16 Mbao 38 12 9 17 33:43 45
17 Alliance 38 11 12 15 36:48 45
18 Lipuli 38 12 8 18 43:51 44
19 Ndanda 38 9 14 15 28:35 41
20 Singida United 38 4 6 28 23:73 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)