Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mbao vs Namungo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020
Mbao Logo

Mbao

3 - 0
FT
Namungo Logo

Namungo

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
John J.
14' Event
John J.
24' Event
Segeja A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mbao in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mbao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Mbao
15%
Draws
20%
Namungo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mbao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Mbao have won more games recently than Namungo.
  • Mbao are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Mbao Clean Sheet 68%
Namungo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mbao Namungo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 7
Draws 4 10
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.97 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbao vs Namungo
3:0
Feb 1, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Mbao
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mbao Compare

Top Goalscorer John J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Segeja A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Namungo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mbao 95 / 100
Namungo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mbao Namungo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mbao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Namungo let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Mbao remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Namungo registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Namungo
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mbao

(Home)
01 Aug
Mbao
4 : 2
Singida Black Stars
29 Jul
Singida Black Stars
2 : 0
Mbao
26 Jul
Mbao
2 : 0
Ndanda
22 Jul
Mbao
3 : 0
Namungo
19 Jul
JKT Tanzania
1 : 1
Mbao
Page 1 of 6

Namungo

(Away)
08 Oct
Namungo
1 : 0
TRA United
11 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Namungo
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2
Namungo
29 Aug
JKT Tanzania
2 : 1
Namungo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 38 27 7 4 78:21 88
2 Young Africans 38 19 15 4 45:28 72
3 Azam 38 20 10 8 52:26 70
4 Namungo 38 17 13 8 46:37 64
5 Polisi Tanzania 38 15 10 13 37:35 55
6 JKT Tanzania 38 13 15 10 34:32 54
7 Coastal Union 38 14 11 13 33:30 53
8 Kagera Sugar 38 15 7 16 44:41 52
9 Biashara Mara United 38 12 14 12 29:27 50
10 Tanzania Prisons 38 10 19 9 35:30 49
11 Mwadui 38 12 11 15 39:45 47
12 Ruvu Shooting 38 12 11 15 34:42 47
13 Kinondoni MC 38 13 7 18 35:47 46
14 Mtibwa Sugar 38 11 12 15 30:34 45
15 Mbeya City 38 12 9 17 33:42 45
16 Mbao 38 12 9 17 33:43 45
17 Alliance 38 11 12 15 36:48 45
18 Lipuli 38 12 8 18 43:51 44
19 Ndanda 38 9 14 15 28:35 41
20 Singida United 38 4 6 28 23:73 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)