Sport Picks
Mbarara City vs NEC FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uganda
Premier League Rwamwanja stadium, Nkoma 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- NEC FC have won more games recently than Mbarara City.
- Mbarara City are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mbarara City | NEC FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 0.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mbarara City's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: NEC FC conceded in 37% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Mbarara City remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Mbarara City
(Home)NEC FC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 2 | NEC FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:2 | 11 |
| 3 | Villa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 11 |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 5 | Blacks Power | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 9 |
| 6 | Kitara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 7 | Police | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 7 |
| 8 | Kampala City | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Vipers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:1 | 6 |
| 10 | Maroons | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | 6 |
| 11 | Lugazi | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 12 | UPDF FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 5 |
| 13 | Express FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 14 | Uganda Revenue | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 15 | Ntugasaze | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:11 | 3 |
| 16 | Mbarara City | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | 2 |
| 17 | Kataka | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:8 | 2 |
| 18 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
