Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Mbarara City and UPDF FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UPDF FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Mbarara City come out ahead of UPDF FC on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Mbarara City's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors UPDF FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mbarara City | UPDF FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mbarara City Compare
UPDF FC Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mbarara City found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: UPDF FC conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Mbarara City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vipers | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 67 |
| 2 | Kampala City | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 62 |
| 3 | Villa | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 61 |
| 4 | Kitara | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 56 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 51 |
| 6 | NEC FC | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 51 |
| 7 | Police | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 47 |
| 8 | Maroons | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | 38 |
| 9 | BUL | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | 37 |
| 10 | Express FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | 37 |
| 11 | Uganda Revenue | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | 31 |
| 12 | Mbarara City | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | 27 |
| 13 | Lugazi | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | 25 |
| 14 | UPDF FC | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | 22 |
| 15 | Calvary | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | 21 |
| 16 | Buhimba | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | 15 |