Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mbeya City vs TRA United

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Sokoine Stadium, Mbeya
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
46'
58'

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between Mbeya City and TRA United finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Mbeya City
17%
Draws
13%
TRA United
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Mbeya City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • TRA United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mbeya City's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Mbeya City Clean Sheet 19%
TRA United Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mbeya City TRA United
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs TRA United
0:0
Feb 7, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Mbeya City
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mbeya City 67 / 100
TRA United 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mbeya City TRA United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MBE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mbeya City has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mbeya City scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: TRA United conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mbeya City VS TRA United
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mbeya City

(Home)
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0
Mbeya City
05 Jul
Mbeya City
2 : 0
Tanzania Prisons
30 Jun
Mbeya City
0 : 0
TRA United
27 Jun
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 1
Mbeya City
24 Jun
Pamba
0 : 2
Mbeya City
Page 1 of 6

TRA United

(Away)
30 Jun
Mbeya City
0 : 0
TRA United
27 Jun
Young Africans
3 : 0
TRA United
24 Jun
TRA United
1 : 1
Coastal Union
16 Jun
Namungo
0 : 0
TRA United
12 Jun
Kinondoni MC
0 : 1
TRA United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Young Africans30236171:975
2Simba30227154:1173
3Azam301810246:1264
4Singida Black Stars301551047:3550
5TRA United301110933:2843
6JKT Tanzania301012830:3342
7Pamba30991232:3536
8Coastal Union30991231:3736
9Dodoma Jiji308111125:3635
10Namungo307131025:3234
11Mashujaa307121115:2733
12Fountain Gate30961525:4433
13Tanzania Prisons30951623:4132
14Mbeya City30791424:4130
15Mtibwa Sugar30691525:4827
16Kinondoni MC30232516:539
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)