Sport Picks
Mbeya City vs Kagera Sugar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara Sokoine Stadium, Mbeya 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Kagera Sugar in this Ligi Kuu Bara matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kagera Sugar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Mbeya City have won more games recently than Kagera Sugar.
- Win probability leans Mbeya City's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mbeya City | Kagera Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mbeya City Compare
Kagera Sugar Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kagera Sugar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.
Attacking prowess: Mbeya City scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Mbeya City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Mbeya City
(Home)Kagera Sugar
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Simba | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 18 |
| 3 | Azam | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Mashujaa | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | 12 |
| 5 | Singida Black Stars | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | 11 |
| 6 | Dodoma Jiji | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Polisi Tanzania | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Mbeya City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 9 | JKT Tanzania | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 10 | Namungo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Geita Gold | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | 7 |
| 12 | Coastal Union | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 7 |
| 13 | TRA United | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 14 | Kagera Sugar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | 5 |
| 15 | Pamba | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 16 | Fountain Gate | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | 4 |
