Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Ibrahim S. O.
(Penalty)
86'
86'
Mapunda P.
(Penalty)
90'
90'
Munishi D.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Mbeya City in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mbeya City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mbeya City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mbeya City have won more games recently than Lipuli.
- Win probability leans Mbeya City's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Mbeya City Clean Sheet 68%
Lipuli Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mbeya City | Lipuli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 42 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 18, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Lipuli
2:1
Sep 26, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Mbeya City
2:2
May 12, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Mbeya City
0:3
Dec 15, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Lipuli
0:2
May 19, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Mbeya City
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mbeya City 68 / 100
Lipuli 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mbeya City Lipuli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mbeya City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Mbeya City scored in 64% of their last 42 outings.
Lipuli let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Mbeya City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mbeya City VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mbeya City
(Home) 12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 Mbeya City
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0 Mbeya City
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Mbeya City
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1 Mashujaa
19 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Dodoma Jiji
Page 1 of 9
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1 Mashujaa
19 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Dodoma Jiji
14 Aug
Mbeya City
0 : 1 Geita Gold
05 Jul
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
30 Jun
Mbeya City
0 : 0 TRA United
Page 1 of 5
Lipuli
(Away) 26 Jul
Lipuli
0 : 1 Young Africans
23 Jul
Lipuli
1 : 0 Ruvu Shooting
19 Jul
Lipuli
1 : 1 Azam
14 Jul
Lipuli
2 : 0 Kinondoni MC
09 Jul
Alliance
2 : 0 Lipuli
Page 1 of 6
09 Jul
Alliance
2 : 0 Lipuli
04 Jul
Mbao
2 : 0 Lipuli
27 Jun
Singida United
2 : 3 Lipuli
23 Jun
Mwadui
3 : 0 Lipuli
20 Jun
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 1 Lipuli
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 38 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 78:21 | 88 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 38 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 45:28 | 72 |
| 3 | Azam | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 52:26 | 70 |
| 4 | Namungo | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 46:37 | 64 |
| 5 | Polisi Tanzania | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 37:35 | 55 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 34:32 | 54 |
| 7 | Coastal Union | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 33:30 | 53 |
| 8 | Kagera Sugar | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:41 | 52 |
| 9 | Biashara Mara United | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 29:27 | 50 |
| 10 | Tanzania Prisons | 38 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 35:30 | 49 |
| 11 | Mwadui | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 39:45 | 47 |
| 12 | Ruvu Shooting | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 34:42 | 47 |
| 13 | Kinondoni MC | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35:47 | 46 |
| 14 | Mtibwa Sugar | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 30:34 | 45 |
| 15 | Mbeya City | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 33:42 | 45 |
| 16 | Mbao | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 33:43 | 45 |
| 17 | Alliance | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 36:48 | 45 |
| 18 | Lipuli | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 43:51 | 44 |
| 19 | Ndanda | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 28:35 | 41 |
| 20 | Singida United | 38 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 23:73 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)
