Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Sokoine Stadium

Mashujaa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mbeya City play Mashujaa in the Ligi Kuu Bara. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mbeya City averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Mashujaa averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Mbeya City won 0, Mashujaa won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 30, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Mbeya City and 0.88 for Mashujaa. This points to a Mashujaa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Mbeya City

11%

Draws

Mashujaa

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Mbeya City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Mbeya City demonstrates higher offensive output (0.75 avg goals) than Mashujaa (0.5 avg goals).
Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Mbeya City.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Ligi Kuu Bara provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 17%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Mbeya City Clean Sheet 68%

Mashujaa Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mbeya City	Mashujaa
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	7
Draws	9	11
Losses	14	12
Goals Scored	0.75	0.5
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City vs Mashujaa

Possession: 43% - 50% Cards: 4 - 0

0:0

Nov 22, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mashujaa vs Mbeya City

Possession: 46% - 45% Cards: 4 - 0

1:0

Jun 24, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City vs Mashujaa

Possession: 44% - 41% Cards: 4 - 2

0:1

Jun 19, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mashujaa vs Mbeya City

Possession: 60% - 44% Cards: 3 - 1

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mbeya City 86 / 100

Mashujaa 11 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mbeya City Mashujaa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MBE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mbeya City scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Mashujaa let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Mbeya City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Mashujaa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mbeya City VS Mashujaa

0.75 Goals Scored 0.5

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25

63% Over 1.5 63%

13% Over 2.5 13%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9