Sport Picks
Mbeya City vs Mashujaa Prediction & H2H Stats
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Sokoine Stadium, Mbeya 
Match Events
34'
34'
Sub
Said M. In: Kibaya J.
Out: Said M.
58'
58'
Sub
Dilunga H. In: Mwalyanzi P.
Out: Dilunga H.
58'
58'
Sub
Buha A. In: Abdallah O.
Out: Buha A.
AI Match Summary
The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between Mbeya City and Mashujaa finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mbeya City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mbeya City's 0.87 goals per match outpaces what Mashujaa have produced (0.56).
- Model gives Mbeya City a 53% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Mbeya City Clean Sheet 68%
Mashujaa Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mbeya City | Mashujaa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 0.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Mashujaa
2:1
Apr 30, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Mashujaa
0:0
Nov 22, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Mbeya City
1:0
Jun 24, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Mashujaa
0:1
Jun 19, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Mbeya City
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mbeya City 50 / 100
Mashujaa 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mbeya City Mashujaa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mbeya City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Mbeya City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Difficult form: Mashujaa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Mbeya City scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Mbeya City VS Mashujaa
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mbeya City
(Home) 12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 Mbeya City
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0 Mbeya City
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Mbeya City
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1 Mashujaa
19 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Dodoma Jiji
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1 Mashujaa
19 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Dodoma Jiji
14 Aug
Mbeya City
0 : 1 Geita Gold
05 Jul
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
30 Jun
Mbeya City
0 : 0 TRA United
Page 1 of 3
Mashujaa
(Away) 09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1 Singida Black Stars
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0 Mashujaa
27 Aug
Mashujaa
2 : 1 Kagera Sugar
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1 Mashujaa
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0 Mashujaa
Page 1 of 7
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0 Mashujaa
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1 Mashujaa
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0 Mashujaa
15 Aug
Coastal Union
0 : 1 Mashujaa
24 Jun
Fountain Gate
0 : 1 Mashujaa
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 71:9 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 54:11 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 46:12 | 64 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 47:35 | 50 |
| 5 | TRA United | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:28 | 43 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Pamba | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:36 | 35 |
| 10 | Namungo | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 25:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Mashujaa | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 15:27 | 33 |
| 12 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25:44 | 33 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 23:41 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24:41 | 30 |
| 15 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25:48 | 27 |
| 16 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16:53 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)
