Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Sokoine Stadium

Mbeya City

1 - 1

Pamba

Our Tip

Match Events

21'

Buha A.

31'

Naftal K.

Assist: Lwasa P.

46'

Sub

Nahimana S. In: Antwi S.

Out: Nahimana S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara game between Mbeya City and Pamba finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Mbeya City

17%

Draws

13%

Pamba

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Mbeya City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Pamba come out ahead of Mbeya City on wins alone.
Win probability leans Mbeya City's way, sitting at 70%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%

Mbeya City Clean Sheet 20%

Pamba Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mbeya City	Pamba
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	9
Draws	9	8
Losses	14	13
Goals Scored	0.75	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Pamba vs Mbeya City

Possession: 52% - 52% Cards: 0 - 3

0:2

Jan 30, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City vs Pamba

Possession: 44% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mbeya City Compare

Top Goalscorer Buha A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Pamba Compare

Top Goalscorer Naftal K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mbeya City 67 / 100

Pamba 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mbeya City Pamba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MBE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mbeya City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Pamba has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Pamba registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mbeya City VS Pamba

0.75 Goals Scored 1.13

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5

63% Over 1.5 75%

13% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9