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Mbour vs Pikine

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Mbour Logo

Mbour

0 - 0
FT
Pikine Logo

Pikine

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Mbour
35%
Draws
19%
Pikine
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mbour

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pikine lately — more wins on the board than Mbour.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Mbour taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.2%
Mbour Clean Sheet 20%
Pikine Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mbour Pikine
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 18 13
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 0.6 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.7 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Ligue 1
Mbour vs Pikine
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Pikine vs Mbour
0:0
May 26, 2024 Ligue 1
Mbour vs Pikine
0:0
Jan 13, 2024 Ligue 1
Pikine vs Mbour
1:0
Jun 25, 2023 Ligue 1
Mbour vs Pikine
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mbour 40 / 100
Pikine 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mbour Pikine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mbour Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Mbour stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Pikine's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Mbour found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Pikine has conceded goals in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mbour VS Pikine
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mbour

(Home)
04 Jun
US Goree
0 : 0
Mbour
22 May
Mbour
0 : 2
Guediawaye
17 May
Teungueth
2 : 0
Mbour
13 May
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
0 : 2
Mbour
10 May
Mbour
1 : 1
Wally Daan
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Pikine

(Away)
04 Jun
ASC HLM
2 : 1
Pikine
22 May
Pikine
1 : 2
AS Camberene
17 May
Casa
1 : 0
Pikine
13 May
Pikine
0 : 0
ASC Jaraaf
10 May
Pikine
0 : 0
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)