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Mbour vs Teungueth

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Mbour and Teungueth finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Mbour
30%
Draws
51%
Teungueth
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Teungueth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Teungueth come out ahead of Mbour on wins alone.
  • Model gives Teungueth a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57.8%
Mbour Clean Sheet 20%
Teungueth Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mbour Teungueth
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 14
Draws 18 15
Losses 7 2
Goals Scored 0.6 0.68
Goals Conceded 0.7 0.16
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Ligue 1
Teungueth vs Mbour
2:0
Feb 1, 2026 Ligue 1
Mbour vs Teungueth
0:0
Jun 8, 2024 Ligue 1
Teungueth vs Mbour
0:0
Jan 26, 2024 Ligue 1
Mbour vs Teungueth
0:0
Jul 23, 2023 Ligue 1
Mbour vs Teungueth
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mbour 20 / 100
Teungueth 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mbour Teungueth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Teungueth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mbour has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mbour scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Teungueth's defensive record shows goals conceded in 13% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Mbour VS Teungueth
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 13%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mbour

(Home)
04 Jun
US Goree
0 : 0
Mbour
22 May
Mbour
0 : 2
Guediawaye
17 May
Teungueth
2 : 0
Mbour
13 May
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
0 : 2
Mbour
10 May
Mbour
1 : 1
Wally Daan
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Teungueth

(Away)
13 Sept
Teungueth
1 : 0
Canchungo
05 Sept
Canchungo
0 : 1
Teungueth
04 Jun
Guediawaye
0 : 1
Teungueth
22 May
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
0 : 0
Teungueth
17 May
Teungueth
2 : 0
Mbour
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)