Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MC Alger vs ES Setif

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

MC Alger host ES Setif in the Ligue 1. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: MC Alger at 1.57 goals for, 0.82 against; ES Setif at 1.37 for, 1.07 against. Head-to-head, MC Alger have won 2 to ES Setif's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 20, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 0.81) point toward MC Alger. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
MC Alger
15%
Draws
40%
ES Setif
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MC Alger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • MC Alger carry the better recent record into this one.
  • MC Alger are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
MC Alger Clean Sheet 20%
ES Setif Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MC Alger ES Setif
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 16 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.57 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs MC Alger
1:0
Dec 29, 2025 Ligue 1
MC Alger vs ES Setif
2:0
May 19, 2025 Ligue 1
MC Alger vs ES Setif
4:1
Dec 1, 2024 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs MC Alger
0:0
Mar 2, 2024 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs MC Alger
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MC Alger 58 / 100
ES Setif 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MC Alger ES Setif

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MC Alger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: MC Alger scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

ES Setif has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

MC Alger went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MC Alger VS ES Setif
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

MC Alger

(Home)
18 Sept
MC Alger
2 : 0
Rouisset
12 Sept
MC Alger
5 : 0
Nigelec
06 Sept
Nigelec
0 : 0
MC Alger
03 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 1
MC Alger
29 Jul
Al Hilal
0 : 2
MC Alger
Page 1 of 6

ES Setif

(Away)
19 Sept
ES Setif
5 : 1
Constantine
11 Sept
CR Belouizdad
1 : 0
ES Setif
03 Sept
ES Setif
0 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
20 Aug
ES Setif
2 : 1
Magra
05 Jun
Paradou
0 : 2
ES Setif
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USM Alger 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 CR Belouizdad 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Oran 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
4 ES Ben Aknoun 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
5 Constantine 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
6 CR Temouchent 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
7 ES Setif 3 1 0 2 5:3 3
8 MC Alger 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 JS El Biar 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
10 Kabylie 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
11 Olympique Akbou 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
12 Rouisset 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
13 Khenchela 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
14 Biskra 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
15 ASO Chlef 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
16 Saoura 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)