Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MC Alger vs ES Setif

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Sillah G. In: Boukerma M.
Out: Sillah G.
46'
Sub
Benhaoua O. In: Zunon K.
Out: Benhaoua O.
47' Event
Ferhani H.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between MC Alger and ES Setif finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MC Alger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
MC Alger
20%
Draws
42%
ES Setif
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ES Setif

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • MC Alger carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans MC Alger's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
MC Alger Clean Sheet 68%
ES Setif Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MC Alger ES Setif
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 16 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.54 1.22
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs MC Alger
1:0
Dec 29, 2025 Ligue 1
MC Alger vs ES Setif
2:0
May 19, 2025 Ligue 1
MC Alger vs ES Setif
4:1
Dec 1, 2024 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs MC Alger
0:0
Mar 2, 2024 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs MC Alger
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MC Alger 68 / 100
ES Setif 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MC Alger ES Setif

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MC Alger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MC Alger's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: ES Setif conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: MC Alger stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MC Alger VS ES Setif
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

MC Alger

(Home)
12 Sept
MC Alger
5 : 0
Nigelec
06 Sept
Nigelec
0 : 0
MC Alger
03 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 1
MC Alger
29 Jul
Al Hilal
0 : 2
MC Alger
27 Jul
Mamelodi Sundowns
1 : 1
MC Alger
Page 1 of 6

ES Setif

(Away)
11 Sept
CR Belouizdad
1 : 0
ES Setif
03 Sept
ES Setif
0 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
20 Aug
ES Setif
2 : 1
Magra
05 Jun
Paradou
0 : 2
ES Setif
20 May
ES Setif
1 : 0
MC Alger
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)