Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Messoussa A.
11'
11'
Djaouchi H.
49'
49'
Bayazid S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
35%
31%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Khenchela haven't matched MC Alger's recent run of results.
- MC Alger are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- MC Alger have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor MC Alger, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- MC Alger have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
MC Alger Clean Sheet 68%
Khenchela Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | MC Alger | Khenchela |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 21 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.73 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 17, 2026 Ligue 1
MC Alger vs Khenchela
2:1
Dec 13, 2025 Algeria Cup
MC Alger vs Khenchela
2:1
Oct 30, 2025 Ligue 1
Khenchela vs MC Alger
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 Ligue 1
MC Alger vs Khenchela
2:2
Oct 18, 2024 Ligue 1
Khenchela vs MC Alger
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
MC Alger Compare
Top Goalscorer Messoussa A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bayazid S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Khenchela Compare
Top Goalscorer Djaouchi H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
MC Alger 77 / 100
Khenchela 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
MC Alger Khenchela
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MC Alger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: MC Alger scored in 82% of their last 33 outings.
Khenchela has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Solid form: MC Alger remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
MC Alger VS Khenchela
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
MC Alger
(Home) 18 Sept
MC Alger
2 : 0 Rouisset
12 Sept
MC Alger
5 : 0 Nigelec
06 Sept
Nigelec
0 : 0 MC Alger
03 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 1 MC Alger
29 Jul
Al Hilal
0 : 2 MC Alger
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
MC Alger
2 : 0 Rouisset
12 Sept
MC Alger
5 : 0 Nigelec
05 Jun
MC Alger
2 : 0 ASO Chlef
08 May
MC Alger
1 : 1 Rouisset
28 Apr
MC Alger
2 : 1 Olympique Akbou
Page 1 of 4
Khenchela
(Away) 18 Sept
Khenchela
1 : 1 ES Ben Aknoun
04 Sept
Khenchela
0 : 0 USM Alger
05 Jun
Khenchela
1 : 0 Rouisset
25 May
Khenchela
2 : 1 USM Alger
19 May
Constantine
2 : 2 Khenchela
Page 1 of 6
19 May
Constantine
2 : 2 Khenchela
04 May
CR Belouizdad
3 : 1 Khenchela
17 Apr
Saoura
3 : 0 Khenchela
10 Apr
Mostaganem
0 : 3 Khenchela
17 Mar
MC Alger
2 : 1 Khenchela
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
CA Batna 2
Annaba 1
Kolea 1
Bordj Menail 0
Paradou 3
Adrar 0
USF Constantine 4
Metlili Chaamba 2
Frenda 2
Mila 1
ASO Chlef 1
Sidi Abdelmoumen 0
MB Barika 1
Marsa El Hadjadj 0
Saida 3
Telaghema 0
MO Bejaia 1
Harrach 2
Kabylie 7
MB Hassi Messaoud 0
Magra 0
USM Alger 1
MO Constantine 3
Kais 1
Sidi Ali Boussidi 0
Arba 1
Oran 1
Mostaganem 2
Bethioua 0
Saoura 1
Khroub 2
Olympique Akbou 0
Constantine 4
JS El Biar 1
CR Temouchent 1
Hamaissa 0
Bechar Djedid 4
GC Mascara 3
ES Setif 1
Beni Thamou 0
Tessala 0
Bejaia 1
Widad Adabi de Boufarik 3
Naama 0
Beni Oulbane 0
Amal Bou Saada 1
Hussein Dey 3
Sedrata 0
Wifaq Ain Benian 2
SC Mecheria 1
CR Belouizdad 2
Oued Fodda 1
Ain Kercha 1
Illizi 0
Beni Thour 1
ASM Oran 2
MC Alger 1
El Bayadh 0
Khenchela 1
Rouisset 0
ES Ben Aknoun 2
RA Ain Defla 0
ESF Bir El Ater 2
Kadiria 0
1/16-finals
CA Batna 5
Kolea 1
Paradou 2
USF Constantine 0
Frenda 0
ASO Chlef 1
MB Barika 1
Saida 2
Harrach 1
Kabylie 0
USM Alger 3
MO Constantine 0
Arba 0
Mostaganem 1
Saoura 2
Khroub 0
Constantine 3
CR Temouchent 0
Bechar Djedid 0
ES Setif 4
Bejaia 4
Widad Adabi de Boufarik 1
Amal Bou Saada 0
Hussein Dey 1
Wifaq Ain Benian 1
CR Belouizdad 5
Ain Kercha 0
ASM Oran 2
MC Alger 2
Khenchela 1
ES Ben Aknoun 2
ESF Bir El Ater 0
1/8-finals
CA Batna 4
Paradou 3
ASO Chlef 0
Saida 1
Harrach 2
USM Alger 3
Mostaganem 0
Saoura 2
Constantine 2
ES Setif 1
Bejaia 3
Hussein Dey 0
CR Belouizdad 3
ASM Oran 0
MC Alger 1
ES Ben Aknoun 0
Quarter-finals
CA Batna 1
Saida 0
USM Alger 1
Saoura 0
Constantine 1
Bejaia 0
CR Belouizdad 3
MC Alger 2
Semi-finals
CA Batna 1
USM Alger 3
Constantine 2
CR Belouizdad 3
Final
USM Alger 2
CR Belouizdad 1
