Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Messoussa A.
11'
11'
Djaouchi H.
49'
49'
Bayazid S.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with MC Alger advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: MC Alger
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Khenchela haven't matched MC Alger's recent run of results.
- MC Alger are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- MC Alger have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor MC Alger, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- MC Alger have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
MC Alger Clean Sheet 68%
Khenchela Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | MC Alger | Khenchela |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 31 |
| Wins | 21 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 17, 2026 Ligue 1
MC Alger vs Khenchela
2:1
Dec 13, 2025 Algeria Cup
MC Alger vs Khenchela
2:1
Oct 30, 2025 Ligue 1
Khenchela vs MC Alger
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 Ligue 1
MC Alger vs Khenchela
2:2
Oct 18, 2024 Ligue 1
Khenchela vs MC Alger
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
MC Alger Compare
Top Goalscorer Messoussa A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bayazid S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Khenchela Compare
Top Goalscorer Djaouchi H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
MC Alger 59 / 100
Khenchela 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
MC Alger Khenchela
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: MC Alger scored in 82% of their last 34 outings.
Khenchela has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Solid form: MC Alger remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
MC Alger VS Khenchela
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
MC Alger
(Home) 03 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 1 MC Alger
29 Jul
Al Hilal
0 : 2 MC Alger
27 Jul
Mamelodi Sundowns
1 : 1 MC Alger
05 Jun
MC Alger
2 : 0 ASO Chlef
20 May
ES Setif
1 : 0 MC Alger
Page 1 of 7
05 Jun
MC Alger
2 : 0 ASO Chlef
08 May
MC Alger
1 : 1 Rouisset
28 Apr
MC Alger
2 : 1 Olympique Akbou
09 Apr
MC Alger
3 : 0 El Bayadh
01 Apr
MC Alger
1 : 0 USM Alger
Page 1 of 4
Khenchela
(Away) 05 Jun
Khenchela
1 : 0 Rouisset
25 May
Khenchela
2 : 1 USM Alger
19 May
Constantine
2 : 2 Khenchela
08 May
Khenchela
2 : 1 El Bayadh
04 May
CR Belouizdad
3 : 1 Khenchela
Page 1 of 7
19 May
Constantine
2 : 2 Khenchela
04 May
CR Belouizdad
3 : 1 Khenchela
17 Apr
Saoura
3 : 0 Khenchela
10 Apr
Mostaganem
0 : 3 Khenchela
17 Mar
MC Alger
2 : 1 Khenchela
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
CA Batna 2
Annaba 1
Kolea 1
Bordj Menail 0
Paradou 3
Adrar 0
USF Constantine 4
Metlili Chaamba 2
Frenda 2
Mila 1
ASO Chlef 1
Sidi Abdelmoumen 0
MB Barika 1
Marsa El Hadjadj 0
Saida 3
Telaghema 0
MO Bejaia 1
Harrach 2
Kabylie 7
MB Hassi Messaoud 0
Magra 0
USM Alger 1
MO Constantine 3
Kais 1
Sidi Ali Boussidi 0
Arba 1
Oran 1
Mostaganem 2
Bethioua 0
Saoura 1
Khroub 2
Olympique Akbou 0
Constantine 4
JS El Biar 1
CR Temouchent 1
Hamaissa 0
Bechar Djedid 4
GC Mascara 3
ES Setif 1
Beni Thamou 0
Tessala 0
Bejaia 1
Widad Adabi de Boufarik 3
Naama 0
Beni Oulbane 0
Amal Bou Saada 1
Hussein Dey 3
Sedrata 0
Wifaq Ain Benian 2
SC Mecheria 1
CR Belouizdad 2
Oued Fodda 1
Ain Kercha 1
Illizi 0
Beni Thour 1
ASM Oran 2
MC Alger 1
El Bayadh 0
Khenchela 1
Rouisset 0
ES Ben Aknoun 2
RA Ain Defla 0
ESF Bir El Ater 2
Kadiria 0
1/16-finals
CA Batna 5
Kolea 1
Paradou 2
USF Constantine 0
Frenda 0
ASO Chlef 1
MB Barika 1
Saida 2
Harrach 1
Kabylie 0
USM Alger 3
MO Constantine 0
Arba 0
Mostaganem 1
Saoura 2
Khroub 0
Constantine 3
CR Temouchent 0
Bechar Djedid 0
ES Setif 4
Bejaia 4
Widad Adabi de Boufarik 1
Amal Bou Saada 0
Hussein Dey 1
Wifaq Ain Benian 1
CR Belouizdad 5
Ain Kercha 0
ASM Oran 2
MC Alger 2
Khenchela 1
ES Ben Aknoun 2
ESF Bir El Ater 0
1/8-finals
CA Batna 4
Paradou 3
ASO Chlef 0
Saida 1
Harrach 2
USM Alger 3
Mostaganem 0
Saoura 2
Constantine 2
ES Setif 1
Bejaia 3
Hussein Dey 0
CR Belouizdad 3
ASM Oran 0
MC Alger 1
ES Ben Aknoun 0
Quarter-finals
CA Batna 1
Saida 0
USM Alger 1
Saoura 0
Constantine 1
Bejaia 0
CR Belouizdad 3
MC Alger 2
Semi-finals
CA Batna 1
USM Alger 3
Constantine 2
CR Belouizdad 3
Final
USM Alger 2
CR Belouizdad 1
