Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MC Alger vs Khenchela

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Ali La Pointe Stadium, Douera
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Zougrana M.
45' Event
Bakir M.
53'
Ghezala A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between MC Alger and Khenchela finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MC Alger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
MC Alger
20%
Draws
47%
Khenchela
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Khenchela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and MC Alger come out ahead of Khenchela on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on MC Alger taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • MC Alger have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
MC Alger Clean Sheet 68%
Khenchela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MC Alger Khenchela
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 Ligue 1
MC Alger vs Khenchela
2:1
Dec 13, 2025 Algeria Cup
MC Alger vs Khenchela
2:1
Oct 30, 2025 Ligue 1
Khenchela vs MC Alger
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 Ligue 1
MC Alger vs Khenchela
2:2
Oct 18, 2024 Ligue 1
Khenchela vs MC Alger
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MC Alger Compare

Top Goalscorer Menezla A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Khenchela Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakir M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MC Alger 59 / 100
Khenchela 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MC Alger Khenchela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MC Alger found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Khenchela let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

MC Alger has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

MC Alger VS Khenchela
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

MC Alger

(Home)
03 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 1
MC Alger
29 Jul
Al Hilal
0 : 2
MC Alger
27 Jul
Mamelodi Sundowns
1 : 1
MC Alger
05 Jun
MC Alger
2 : 0
ASO Chlef
20 May
ES Setif
1 : 0
MC Alger
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Khenchela

(Away)
05 Jun
Khenchela
1 : 0
Rouisset
25 May
Khenchela
2 : 1
USM Alger
19 May
Constantine
2 : 2
Khenchela
08 May
Khenchela
2 : 1
El Bayadh
04 May
CR Belouizdad
3 : 1
Khenchela
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2026/2027 (Main)