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MC Alger vs Saoura - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

MC Alger host Saoura in the Ligue 1. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Saoura have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while MC Alger have conceded 0.69 and scored 1.41. Past meetings favor MC Alger slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 0.69, favoring MC Alger. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
MC Alger
30%
Draws
12%
Saoura
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: MC Alger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • MC Alger have won more games recently than Saoura.
  • Win probability leans MC Alger's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
MC Alger Clean Sheet 20%
Saoura Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MC Alger Saoura
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.41 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.69 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Ligue 1
Saoura vs MC Alger
2:1
Nov 3, 2025 Ligue 1
MC Alger vs Saoura
1:0
May 27, 2025 Ligue 1
Saoura vs MC Alger
0:0
Jan 29, 2025 Ligue 1
MC Alger vs Saoura
1:0
Mar 25, 2024 Ligue 1
Saoura vs MC Alger
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MC Alger 67 / 100
Saoura 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MC Alger Saoura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MC Alger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MC Alger found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: MC Alger stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Saoura registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Saoura conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

MC Alger VS Saoura
1 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

MC Alger

(Home)
31 Oct
MC Alger
2 : 0
Khenchela
27 Oct
Biskra
0 : 1
MC Alger
23 Oct
MC Alger
3 : 0
Rangers International
18 Oct
Rangers International
2 : 0
MC Alger
13 Oct
ASO Chlef
1 : 1
MC Alger
Page 1 of 6

Saoura

(Away)
02 Nov
CR Belouizdad
1 : 0
Saoura
24 Oct
Saoura
0 : 0
ES Ben Aknoun
18 Oct
Rouisset
1 : 0
Saoura
13 Oct
USM Alger
1 : 0
Saoura
08 Oct
Saoura
0 : 0
Olympique Akbou
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CR Belouizdad 7 5 2 0 12:7 17
2 Kabylie 7 5 1 1 11:3 16
3 Oran 7 4 3 0 5:0 15
4 USM Alger 7 4 2 1 10:5 14
5 Rouisset 8 4 2 2 8:5 14
6 MC Alger 5 4 1 0 7:1 13
7 Olympique Akbou 7 3 2 2 9:6 11
8 CR Temouchent 8 2 3 3 6:9 9
9 ES Setif 7 2 2 3 9:7 8
10 JS El Biar 8 2 2 4 12:12 8
11 ES Ben Aknoun 7 1 5 1 8:8 8
12 Constantine 8 2 1 5 11:17 7
13 Khenchela 7 1 2 4 3:8 5
14 ASO Chlef 8 0 4 4 7:13 4
15 Saoura 7 0 3 4 0:7 3
16 Biskra 8 0 3 5 4:14 3
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)