Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MC Alger vs Tebessa Prediction & H2H Stats

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup 2015/2016 Stade du 5 Juillet 1962, Algiers
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Zeghdane T.
25' Event
Abid A.
(Penalty)
64' Event
Hachoud A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with MC Alger advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
MC Alger
15%
Draws
32%
Tebessa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MC Alger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and MC Alger come out ahead of Tebessa on wins alone.
  • Model gives MC Alger a 53% chance of winning this.
  • MC Alger have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor MC Alger, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
MC Alger Clean Sheet 68%
Tebessa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MC Alger Tebessa
Matches Played 28 16
Wins 16 9
Draws 4 0
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.61 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2016 Algeria Cup
MC Alger vs Tebessa
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MC Alger Compare

Top Goalscorer Zeghdane T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hachoud A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Tebessa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MC Alger 95 / 100
Tebessa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MC Alger Tebessa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MC Alger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MC Alger found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Tebessa has conceded goals in 75% of their last 16 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

MC Alger went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MC Alger VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

MC Alger

(Home)
18 Sept
MC Alger
2 : 0
Rouisset
12 Sept
MC Alger
5 : 0
Nigelec
06 Sept
Nigelec
0 : 0
MC Alger
03 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 1
MC Alger
29 Jul
Al Hilal
0 : 2
MC Alger
Page 1 of 6

Tebessa

(Away)
02 Feb
Azazga
5 : 0
Tebessa
20 Dec
Tebessa
2 : 3
JS Djijel
31 Mar
ES Setif
4 : 0
Tebessa
28 Dec
ASO Chlef
2 : 4
Tebessa
17 Dec
Tebessa
2 : 1
RC Oued Rhiou
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
MC Alger 2
USM Oran 0
Azzefoun 2
Biskra 3
Dahmouni 2
RC Kouba 1
Kabylie 0
RC Relizane 1
Ain Fakroun 2
Touggourt 0
Constantine 0
Eulma 1
ASM Oran 5
Dely Brahim 1
Tadamoun Souf 1
Ghriss 3
ASB Maghnia 1
SC Ain Defla 0
Cheraga 0
Mlila 1
Collo 1
Ouled Yaich 0
AS Barika 0
Chelghoum 1
Harrach 2
Maghnia 1
Guelma 0
El Kerma 1
USM Blida 3
OM Arzew 2
NR Bouakal 0
Tebessa 1
Hussein Dey 5
Bouchegouf 0
Boumedfaa 0
Saoura 3
JS Djijel 3
Kais 2
Oran 1
MO Bejaia 2
SC Ain Defla 2
JSM Tiaret 1
MC Debdaba 1
Ouled Djellal 2
Beni Thour 3
El Ogla 2
USM Alger 1
Paradou 3
ES Setif 3
Msila 1
ASO Chlef 1
CR Belouizdad 4
USB Tissemsilt 1
Lakhdaria 0
Bousbaa 1
Arba 2
Tadjenant 4
MB Hassi Messaoud 0
Bejaia 0
Oued Smar 2
SCM Oran 8
Bouda 0
Azzaba 1
Bel Abbes 2
1/16-finals
MC Alger 1
Biskra 0
Dahmouni 0
RC Relizane 1
Ain Fakroun 2
Eulma 1
ASM Oran 0
Ghriss 1
ASB Maghnia 1
Mlila 0
Collo 0
Chelghoum 1
Harrach 2
El Kerma 0
USM Blida 1
Tebessa 2
Hussein Dey 1
Saoura 0
JS Djijel 1
MO Bejaia 2
SC Ain Defla 4
Ouled Djellal 2
Beni Thour 0
Paradou 3
ES Setif 2
CR Belouizdad 1
USB Tissemsilt 0
Arba 1
Tadjenant 2
Oued Smar 1
SCM Oran 0
Bel Abbes 1
1/8-finals
MC Alger 2
RC Relizane 1
Ain Fakroun 0
Ghriss 1
ASB Maghnia 1
Chelghoum 0
Harrach 0
Tebessa 1
Hussein Dey 2
MO Bejaia 1
SC Ain Defla 0
Paradou 1
ES Setif 2
Arba 1
Tadjenant 0
Bel Abbes 1
Quarter-finals
MC Alger 2
Ghriss 0
ASB Maghnia 0
Tebessa 1
Hussein Dey 2
Paradou 0
ES Setif 1
Bel Abbes 3
Semi-finals
MC Alger 3
Tebessa 0
Hussein Dey 1
Bel Abbes 0
Final
MC Alger 1
Hussein Dey 0