Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Ferhat Z.
47'
47'
Zunon K.
61'
61'
Bangoura A.
AI Match Summary
MC Alger in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored MC Alger.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
35%
31%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to MC Alger lately — more wins on the board than USM Alger.
- 34% — that's where the model lands on MC Alger taking it.
- Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- MC Alger have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
MC Alger Clean Sheet 68%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | MC Alger | USM Alger |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.58 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 1, 2026 Ligue 1
MC Alger vs USM Alger
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 Super Cup
MC Alger vs USM Alger
1:0
Aug 31, 2025 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs MC Alger
0:0
May 23, 2025 Ligue 1
MC Alger vs USM Alger
1:0
Jan 24, 2025 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs MC Alger
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
MC Alger Compare
Top Goalscorer Ferhat Z.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
USM Alger Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
MC Alger 68 / 100
USM Alger 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
MC Alger USM Alger
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MC Alger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
MC Alger scored in 77% of their last 26 games.
USM Alger let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.
MC Alger went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Games between these two average 1.20 goals.
Scoring Trends
MC Alger VS USM Alger
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
MC Alger
(Home) 18 Sept
MC Alger
2 : 0 Rouisset
12 Sept
MC Alger
5 : 0 Nigelec
06 Sept
Nigelec
0 : 0 MC Alger
03 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 1 MC Alger
29 Jul
Al Hilal
0 : 2 MC Alger
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
MC Alger
2 : 0 Rouisset
12 Sept
MC Alger
5 : 0 Nigelec
05 Jun
MC Alger
2 : 0 ASO Chlef
08 May
MC Alger
1 : 1 Rouisset
28 Apr
MC Alger
2 : 1 Olympique Akbou
Page 1 of 3
USM Alger
(Away) 19 Sept
Olympique Akbou
2 : 3 USM Alger
10 Sept
USM Alger
2 : 0 JS El Biar
04 Sept
Khenchela
0 : 0 USM Alger
15 Aug
Club Africain
0 : 0 USM Alger
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2 USM Alger
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19 Sept
Olympique Akbou
2 : 3 USM Alger
04 Sept
Khenchela
0 : 0 USM Alger
15 Aug
Club Africain
0 : 0 USM Alger
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2 USM Alger
04 Jun
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2 USM Alger
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MC Alger | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 41:18 | 65 |
| 2 | Saoura | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 40:26 | 55 |
| 3 | CR Belouizdad | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 47:24 | 53 |
| 4 | Oran | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 49 |
| 5 | Kabylie | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 40:31 | 45 |
| 6 | Olympique Akbou | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 34:31 | 45 |
| 7 | Khenchela | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 37:37 | 44 |
| 8 | ES Ben Aknoun | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 41:39 | 43 |
| 9 | Constantine | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 35:30 | 43 |
| 10 | USM Alger | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 34:29 | 39 |
| 11 | ES Setif | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 12 | Rouisset | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:35 | 36 |
| 13 | ASO Chlef | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 26:31 | 34 |
| 14 | Paradou | 30 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 35:54 | 24 |
| 15 | Mostaganem | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 18:52 | 19 |
| 16 | El Bayadh | 30 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 17:40 | 17 |
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)
