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MCF vs Kabati

Kenya Kenya

Super League
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AI Match Summary

The Super League game between MCF and Kabati finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MCF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
MCF
20%
Draws
47%
Kabati
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kabati

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Kabati carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
MCF Clean Sheet 20%
Kabati Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MCF Kabati
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Super League
MCF vs Kabati
2:1
Nov 16, 2025 Super League
Kabati vs MCF
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MCF 36 / 100
Kabati 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MCF Kabati

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kabati let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: MCF remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

MCF scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

MCF VS Kabati
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

MCF

(Home)
13 Jun
MCF
0 : 3
Fortune Sacco
07 Jun
Kibera
1 : 2
MCF
01 Jun
MCF
2 : 0
Mwatate United
27 May
Migori
2 : 1
MCF
23 May
Nairobi City Stars
0 : 0
MCF
Page 1 of 6

Kabati

(Away)
13 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kabati
07 Jun
Kabati
2 : 1
Naivas FC
01 Jun
Nairobi City Stars
1 : 2
Kabati
28 May
Kabati
5 : 0
Luanda Villa
24 May
Soy United
2 : 1
Kabati
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
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