Sport Picks

Mdina vs Gharb Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta

FA Trophy 2018/2019

Mdina

Sun, Oct 28, 2018

2 - 1

02:00 PM

Gharb

Our Tip

Match Events

57'

Shkjau A.

75'

Nunez P.

Own Goal

105'

Sciberras R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Mdina advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Mdina

15%

Draws

42%

Gharb

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mdina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Mdina carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
Mdina have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Mdina, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 80%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%

Mdina Clean Sheet 11%

Gharb Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mdina	Gharb
Matches Played	12	7
Wins	3	2
Draws	0	0
Losses	9	5
Goals Scored	1	1
Goals Conceded	2.75	3.57
Expected Goals (xG)	2.29	1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2018 FA Trophy

Mdina vs Gharb

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mdina Compare

Top Goalscorer Sciberras R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.76

Avg xA / game 1.15

Gharb Compare

Top Goalscorer Shkjau A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.65

Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mdina 30 / 100

Gharb 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mdina Gharb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gharb has conceded goals in 100% of their last 7 outings.

Mdina scored in 75% of their last 12 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Gharb registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mdina VS Gharb

1 Goals Scored 1

2.63 Goals Conceded 3.57

88% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 86%

38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Mdina

(Home)

06 Sept

Victoria Hotspurs

7 : 0

Mdina

30 Nov

Mdina

1 : 4

Pieta

28 Oct

Mdina

2 : 1

Gharb

09 Sept

Zebbug Rovers

0 : 1

Mdina

10 Sept

Mdina

2 : 3

Mellieha

Page 1 of 3

Gharb

(Away)

15 Sept

Gharb

0 : 2

Xewkija

28 Oct

Mdina

2 : 1

Gharb

06 Sept

Gharb

2 : 1

Xghajra

09 Sept

Nadur

7 : 1

Gharb

03 Sept

Xghajra

1 : 2

Gharb

Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Balzan FC -

TBD -

Sannat Lions 2

Xbiex 0

Marsaskala FC 0

Dingli Swallows 4

TBD -

Qrendi -

Gudja -

TBD -

Sirens -

Mqabba FC -

TBD -

Ghajnsielem 8

Oratory 0

TBD -

Xewkija -

Zebbug -

TBD -

Marsaxlokk -

Santa Lucia -

TBD -

Birzebbuga -

Vittoriosa -

TBD -

Kercem Ajax -

TBD -

Kirkop -

TBD -

Tarxien -

Mosta FC -

TBD -

Senglea -

St. Andrews -

TBD -

Sliema -

Hamrun -

TBD -

Floriana -

Nadur 4

Munxar 0

TBD -

Zurrieq -

TBD -

Zabbar -

TBD -

Birkirkara -

Gzira -

TBD -

Luqa -

TBD -

Rabat Ajax -

Siggiewi -

TBD -

Attard -

TBD -

Msida 0

Victoria Hotspurs 8

Swieqi -

TBD -

Melita -

Zejtun -

TBD -

Naxxar Lions -

St. Venera -

TBD -

Pembroke -

Mdina -

TBD -

Zebbug Rovers -

Xghajra -

TBD -

Gharb -

TBD -

Pieta -

Hibernians -

TBD -

Qormi -

San Gwann -

TBD -

Mgarr -

Ghaxaq 2

St. Lawrence 0

Mtarfa 0

Victoria Wanderers 10

TBD -

Fgura -

Lija -

TBD -

St. George's FC -

Kalkara -

TBD -

Mellieha -

Marsa -

TBD -

Xaghra -

TBD -

Qala Saints 1

Gharghur 3

TBD -

Valletta -

1/64-finals

Balzan FC -

TBD -

Sannat Lions 2

Dingli Swallows 1

TBD -

Qrendi -

Gudja -

TBD -

Sirens -

Mqabba FC -

TBD -

Ghajnsielem 0

Xewkija 2

Zebbug -

TBD -

Marsaxlokk -

Santa Lucia -

TBD -

Birzebbuga -

Vittoriosa -

TBD -

Kercem Ajax 1

Kirkop 2

TBD -

Tarxien -

Mosta FC -

TBD -

Senglea -

St. Andrews -

TBD -

Sliema -

Hamrun -

TBD -

Floriana -

Nadur 4

Zurrieq 0

TBD -

Zabbar -

TBD -

Birkirkara -

Gzira -

TBD -

Luqa -

TBD -

Rabat Ajax -

Siggiewi -

TBD -

Attard 1

Victoria Hotspurs 4

Swieqi -

TBD -

Melita -

Zejtun -

TBD -

Naxxar Lions -

St. Venera -

TBD -

Pembroke -

Mdina 1

Zebbug Rovers 0

Xghajra 1

Gharb 2

TBD -

Pieta -

Hibernians -

TBD -

Qormi -

San Gwann -

TBD -

Mgarr -

Ghaxaq 1

Victoria Wanderers 0

TBD -

Fgura -

Lija -

TBD -

St. George's FC -

Kalkara -

TBD -

Mellieha -

Marsa -

TBD -

Xaghra 1

Gharghur 3

TBD -

Valletta -

1/32-finals

Balzan FC -

TBD -

Sannat Lions 0

Qrendi 3

Gudja 2

Sirens 1

Mqabba FC 1

Xewkija 6

Zebbug 1

Marsaxlokk 0

Santa Lucia 2

Birzebbuga 3

Vittoriosa 2

Kirkop 1

TBD -

Tarxien -

Mosta FC -

TBD -

Senglea -

St. Andrews -

TBD -

Sliema -

Hamrun -

TBD -

Floriana -

Nadur 7

Zabbar 0

TBD -

Birkirkara -

Gzira -

TBD -

Luqa 0

Rabat Ajax 5

Siggiewi 2

Victoria Hotspurs 1

Swieqi 0

Melita 1

Zejtun 2

Naxxar Lions 1

St. Venera 0

Pembroke 3

Mdina 2

Gharb 1

TBD -

Pieta -

Hibernians -

TBD -

Qormi -

San Gwann 2

Mgarr 1

Ghaxaq 1

Fgura 4

Lija 4

St. George's FC 0

Kalkara 0

Mellieha 2

Marsa 5

Gharghur 1

TBD -

Valletta -

1/16-finals

Balzan FC 5

Qrendi 1

Gudja 1

Xewkija 2

Zebbug 5

Birzebbuga 0

Vittoriosa 0

Tarxien 3

Mosta FC 3

Senglea 2

St. Andrews 0

Sliema 2

Hamrun 1

Floriana 0

Nadur 0

Birkirkara 4

Gzira 4

Rabat Ajax 0

Siggiewi 1

Melita 3

Zejtun 2

Pembroke 0

Mdina 1

Pieta 4

Hibernians 5

Qormi 1

San Gwann 0

Fgura 1

Lija 5

Mellieha 0

Marsa 0

Valletta 3

1/8-finals

Balzan FC 6

Xewkija 1

Zebbug 0

Tarxien 5

Mosta FC 2

Sliema 1

Hamrun 1

Birkirkara 2

Gzira 4

Melita 2

Zejtun 0

Pieta 2

Hibernians 4

Fgura 0

Lija 1

Valletta 7

Quarter-finals

Balzan FC 2

Tarxien 0

Mosta FC 1

Birkirkara 2

Gzira 2

Pieta 1

Hibernians 2

Valletta 3

Semi-finals

Balzan FC 3

Birkirkara 2

Gzira 0

Valletta 2

Final

Balzan FC 5

Valletta 4

Mdina vs Gharb Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta

Mdina

Gharb

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Mdina Compare

Gharb Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Mdina

Gharb

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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