Sport Picks

Malta

FA Trophy 2014/2015

Mdina

Sun, Sep 7, 2014

0 - 2

03:00 PM

St. Lawrence

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with St. Lawrence advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%

Mdina

15%

Draws

28%

St. Lawrence

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mdina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence

St. Lawrence carry the better recent record into this one.
57% — that's where the model lands on Mdina taking it.
St. Lawrence arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor St. Lawrence, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Mdina Clean Sheet 10%

St. Lawrence Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mdina	St. Lawrence
Matches Played	12	12
Wins	3	4
Draws	0	0
Losses	9	8
Goals Scored	1	1.17
Goals Conceded	2.75	2.58
Expected Goals (xG)	1.69	1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2014 FA Trophy

Mdina vs St. Lawrence

0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mdina 38 / 100

St. Lawrence 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mdina St. Lawrence

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mdina Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mdina found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (12 games).

St. Lawrence's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 12 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: St. Lawrence has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mdina VS St. Lawrence

1.13 Goals Scored 1.63

2.25 Goals Conceded 2.25

75% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mdina

(Home)

06 Sept

Victoria Hotspurs

7 : 0

Mdina

30 Nov

Mdina

1 : 4

Pieta

28 Oct

Mdina

2 : 1

Gharb

09 Sept

Zebbug Rovers

0 : 1

Mdina

10 Sept

Mdina

2 : 3

Mellieha

Page 1 of 3

St. Lawrence

(Away)

09 Sept

St. Lawrence

0 : 5

Xewkija

01 Sept

St. Lawrence

0 : 2

Ghaxaq

03 Sept

Xghajra

4 : 1

St. Lawrence

23 Oct

Lija

5 : 0

St. Lawrence

10 Sept

St. Lawrence

3 : 0

Zurrieq

Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Birkirkara -

TBD -

Vittoriosa -

TBD -

Hamrun -

Zurrieq -

TBD -

Dingli Swallows -

Xghajra -

TBD -

Siggiewi -

Victoria Hotspurs 2

Xbiex 1

TBD -

Mellieha -

TBD -

Zebbug -

Pembroke -

TBD -

Rabat Ajax -

TBD -

Pieta -

Mosta FC -

TBD -

Mqabba FC -

TBD -

Senglea -

Swieqi -

TBD -

Mgarr 1

Kalkara 4

Ghaxaq -

TBD -

Gzira -

Melita -

TBD -

Zejtun -

TBD -

Naxxar Lions -

Birzebbuga -

TBD -

Attard 0

Kercem Ajax 3

TBD -

Valletta -

Qormi -

TBD -

St. Venera 2

Marsaskala FC 0

Marsaxlokk 0

Qrendi 2

Sliema -

TBD -

Floriana -

Gudja -

TBD -

Ghajnsielem 0

Mtarfa 2

TBD -

Tarxien -

Lija -

TBD -

Luqa 3

Oratory 4

San Gwann -

TBD -

Sirens -

Balzan FC -

TBD -

Victoria Wanderers 3

Munxar 0

Xewkija 0

Kirkop 1

Msida -

TBD -

Marsa -

Santa Lucia 3

Qala Saints 2

TBD -

Zabbar -

Nadur 5

Xaghra 0

TBD -

Fgura -

St. Lawrence 2

Mdina 0

TBD -

Gharghur -

St. George's FC -

TBD -

St. Andrews -

TBD -

Hibernians -

1/32-finals

Birkirkara -

TBD -

Vittoriosa 2

Hamrun 3

Zurrieq 2

Dingli Swallows 1

Xghajra 1

Siggiewi 2

Victoria Hotspurs 5

Mellieha 1

TBD -

Zebbug -

Pembroke 2

Rabat Ajax 1

TBD -

Pieta -

Mosta FC -

TBD -

Mqabba FC 2

Senglea 3

Swieqi 7

Kalkara 0

Ghaxaq 0

Gzira 8

Melita 1

Zejtun 0

TBD -

Naxxar Lions -

Birzebbuga 3

Kercem Ajax 2

TBD -

Valletta -

Qormi -

TBD -

St. Venera 1

Qrendi 2

Sliema -

TBD -

Floriana -

Gudja 4

Mtarfa 0

TBD -

Tarxien -

Lija 7

Oratory 0

San Gwann 1

Sirens 2

Balzan FC -

TBD -

Victoria Wanderers 0

Kirkop 2

Msida 4

Marsa 1

Santa Lucia 1

Zabbar 2

Nadur 2

Fgura 1

St. Lawrence 1

Gharghur 2

St. George's FC 3

St. Andrews 2

TBD -

Hibernians -

1/16-finals

Birkirkara 7

Hamrun 1

Zurrieq 2

Siggiewi 5

Victoria Hotspurs 3

Zebbug 0

Pembroke 0

Pieta 1

Mosta FC 6

Senglea 1

Swieqi 0

Gzira 6

Melita 2

Naxxar Lions 1

Birzebbuga 1

Valletta 7

Qormi 3

Qrendi 0

Sliema 0

Floriana 1

Gudja 3

Tarxien 0

Lija 0

Sirens 1

Balzan FC 2

Kirkop 0

Msida 1

Zabbar 2

Nadur 4

Gharghur 1

St. George's FC 0

Hibernians 2

1/8-finals

Birkirkara 3

Siggiewi 0

Victoria Hotspurs 0

Pieta 1

Mosta FC 4

Gzira 1

Melita 0

Valletta 2

Qormi 3

Floriana 1

Gudja 0

Sirens 6

Balzan FC 6

Zabbar 0

Nadur 1

Hibernians 3

Quarter-finals

Birkirkara 3

Pieta 0

Mosta FC 1

Valletta 3

Qormi 7

Sirens 0

Balzan FC 1

Hibernians 2

Semi-finals

Birkirkara 1

Valletta 0

Qormi 0

Hibernians 2

Final

Birkirkara 2

Hibernians 0

Mdina vs St. Lawrence

Malta

Mdina

St. Lawrence

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Mdina

St. Lawrence

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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