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Mechelen W vs RFC Liege W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup Women
Mechelen W Logo

Mechelen W

2 - 0
FT
RFC Liege W Logo

RFC Liege W

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Amezian I.
31' Event
Hermans J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Mechelen W
20%
Draws
34%
RFC Liege W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mechelen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mechelen W lately — more wins on the board than RFC Liege W.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Mechelen W taking it.
  • Mechelen W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mechelen W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Mechelen W Clean Sheet 20%
RFC Liege W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mechelen W RFC Liege W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.69 1
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Belgian Cup Women
Mechelen W vs RFC Liege W
2:0
Feb 26, 2022 1st National Women
Mechelen W vs RFC Liege W
6:0
Oct 16, 2021 1st National Women
RFC Liege W vs Mechelen W
1:9
Mar 27, 2021 1st National Women
Mechelen W vs RFC Liege W
0:0
Nov 21, 2020 1st National Women
RFC Liege W vs Mechelen W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mechelen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Amezian I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hermans J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

RFC Liege W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mechelen W 85 / 100
RFC Liege W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mechelen W RFC Liege W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mechelen W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RFC Liege W has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Mechelen W found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Mechelen W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mechelen W VS RFC Liege W
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mechelen W

(Home)
09 Oct
Westerlo W
2 : 1
Mechelen W
03 Oct
Mechelen W
2 : 0
Genk II W
26 Sept
Mechelen W
2 : 0
RFC Liege W
20 Sept
SB Stade Mouscronnois W
2 : 2
Mechelen W
12 Sept
Mechelen W
1 : 1
RSC Anderlecht II W
Page 1 of 6

RFC Liege W

(Away)
26 Sept
Mechelen W
2 : 0
RFC Liege W
04 May
Mons W
3 : 2
RFC Liege W
27 Apr
RFC Liege W
2 : 0
Chastre W
20 Apr
Waregem 2 2 W
1 : 2
RFC Liege W
13 Apr
Westerlo W
5 : 0
RFC Liege W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Genk W -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Brugge W -
Leuven W -
TBD -
TBD -
Standard Liege W -
RSC Anderlecht W -
TBD -
Mechelen W 2
RFC Liege W 0
RAAL La Louviere W -
TBD -
Westerlo W 6
Drongen W 0
Waregem W -
TBD -
KFC Damme W 4
Toekomst Borsbeke W 0
Schoonbeek-Beverst W 3
Femina Woluwe W 1
Sp. Hasselt W 4
SB Stade Mouscronnois W 3
Famkes Oostende W 0
Herent W 6
Olsa Brakel W 4
Mons W 3
Gent W -
TBD -
RWD Molenbeek W 6
Herk Sport Hasselt W 0
1/8-finals
Genk W -
Club Brugge W -
Leuven W -
Standard Liege W -
RSC Anderlecht W -
Mechelen W -
RAAL La Louviere W -
Westerlo W -
Waregem W -
KFC Damme W -
Schoonbeek-Beverst W -
Sp. Hasselt W -
Herent W -
Olsa Brakel W -
Gent W -
RWD Molenbeek W -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -