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Medeama vs Aduana Stars - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ghana Ghana

Premier League TNA Park, Tarkwa
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Medeama host Aduana Stars in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Medeama at 1.69 goals for, 1.03 against; Aduana Stars at 0.9 for, 0.76 against. Past meetings favor Medeama slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.06 - 1.06) back Medeama to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Medeama
15%
Draws
35%
Aduana Stars
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Medeama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Medeama come out ahead of Aduana Stars on wins alone.
  • Medeama are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Medeama Clean Sheet 20%
Aduana Stars Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Medeama Aduana Stars
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.69 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Premier League
Medeama vs Aduana Stars
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
Aduana Stars vs Medeama
0:0
Mar 23, 2025 Premier League
Medeama vs Aduana Stars
2:0
Oct 28, 2024 Premier League
Aduana Stars vs Medeama
2:2
Mar 21, 2024 Premier League
Medeama vs Aduana Stars
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Medeama 67 / 100
Aduana Stars 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Medeama Aduana Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Medeama Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Medeama found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

Medeama went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Aduana Stars's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Medeama VS Aduana Stars
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Medeama

(Home)
11 Oct
Medeama
3 : 1
Heart of Lions
04 Oct
Debibi United
0 : 1
Medeama
30 Sept
Medeama
1 : 0
Port City
27 Sept
Medeama
4 : 1
Holy Stars
23 Sept
Dreams FC
2 : 2
Medeama
Page 1 of 7

Aduana Stars

(Away)
11 Oct
Young Apostles
1 : 0
Aduana Stars
04 Oct
Aduana Stars
2 : 1
Swedru All Blacks
27 Sept
Asante Kotoko
0 : 2
Aduana Stars
20 Sept
Aduana Stars
2 : 1
Karela
13 Sept
Aduana Stars
0 : 1
Samartex
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medeama 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Hearts of Oak 6 3 2 1 7:2 11
3 Samartex 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
4 Port City 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
5 Ashanti 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 Aduana Stars 6 3 1 2 6:4 10
7 Bechem United 6 3 1 2 8:8 10
8 Karela 6 3 0 3 7:7 9
9 Holy Stars 6 3 0 3 4:7 9
10 Swedru All Blacks 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
11 Heart of Lions 6 2 2 2 7:8 8
12 Asante Kotoko 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
13 Berekum Chelsea 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
14 Bibiani Gold Stars 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
15 Young Apostles 6 2 0 4 3:9 6
16 Vision 6 1 3 2 8:9 6
17 Debibi United 6 1 1 4 6:9 4
18 Dreams FC 6 0 2 4 5:10 2
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)