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Medeama vs Heart of Lions - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ghana Ghana

Premier League TNA Park, Tarkwa
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Medeama and Heart of Lions finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Medeama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Medeama
35%
Draws
27%
Heart of Lions
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Medeama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Medeama carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Medeama a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Medeama Clean Sheet 68%
Heart of Lions Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Medeama Heart of Lions
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 18 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.65 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Premier League
Medeama vs Heart of Lions
5:2
Dec 27, 2025 Premier League
Heart of Lions vs Medeama
0:1
Apr 16, 2025 Premier League
Heart of Lions vs Medeama
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Premier League
Medeama vs Heart of Lions
0:0
Jun 2, 2024 Premier League
Medeama vs Heart of Lions
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Medeama 68 / 100
Heart of Lions 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Medeama Heart of Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Medeama Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Medeama found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (34 games).

Medeama went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Heart of Lions conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Medeama VS Heart of Lions
1.38 Goals Scored 0.86
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.71
88% Over 1.5 43%
63% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Medeama

(Home)
04 Oct
Debibi United
0 : 1
Medeama
30 Sept
Medeama
1 : 0
Port City
27 Sept
Medeama
4 : 1
Holy Stars
23 Sept
Dreams FC
2 : 2
Medeama
19 Sept
Vision
1 : 1
Medeama
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Heart of Lions

(Away)
04 Oct
Heart of Lions
3 : 2
Ashanti
27 Sept
Young Apostles
1 : 2
Heart of Lions
19 Sept
Heart of Lions
0 : 0
Swedru All Blacks
13 Sept
Asante Kotoko
2 : 1
Heart of Lions
06 Sept
Heart of Lions
0 : 0
Aduana Stars
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medeama 5 3 2 0 9:4 11
2 Samartex 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
3 Port City 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
4 Aduana Stars 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
5 Holy Stars 5 3 0 2 4:5 9
6 Hearts of Oak 5 2 2 1 6:2 8
7 Heart of Lions 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
8 Swedru All Blacks 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
9 Asante Kotoko 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
10 Ashanti 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
11 Bechem United 5 2 1 2 4:6 7
12 Karela 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
13 Vision 5 1 3 1 6:5 6
14 Debibi United 5 1 1 3 6:6 4
15 Bibiani Gold Stars 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Berekum Chelsea 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
17 Young Apostles 5 1 0 4 2:9 3
18 Dreams FC 5 0 2 3 5:9 2
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)