Sport Picks

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Medeama vs Karela

Ghana Ghana

Premier League 2025/2026 TNA Park, Tarkwa
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Mamudu K.
16'
Ganiu A.
18'
Ali A.

AI Match Summary

Medeama in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Medeama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Medeama
11%
Draws
9%
Karela
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Medeama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Medeama lately — more wins on the board than Karela.
  • Win probability leans Medeama's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Medeama Clean Sheet 68%
Karela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Medeama Karela
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 11 9
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Premier League
Medeama vs Karela
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 Premier League
Karela vs Medeama
1:0
May 18, 2025 Premier League
Karela vs Medeama
3:1
Jan 1, 2025 Premier League
Medeama vs Karela
1:0
Jun 16, 2024 Premier League
Medeama vs Karela
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Medeama Compare

Top Goalscorer Mamudu K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fordjour D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Karela Compare

Top Goalscorer Aboagye S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Medeama 86 / 100
Karela 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Medeama Karela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MED Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Medeama found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (33 games).

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Medeama stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Karela conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Medeama VS Karela
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Medeama

(Home)
27 May
Medeama
2 : 1
Holy Stars
24 May
Hearts of Oak
4 : 2
Medeama
17 May
Medeama
5 : 2
Heart of Lions
10 May
Holy Stars
0 : 1
Medeama
06 May
Berekum Chelsea
2 : 1
Medeama
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Karela

(Away)
24 May
Karela
0 : 1
Nations FC
17 May
Karela
1 : 0
Swedru All Blacks
10 May
Vision
3 : 0
Karela
06 May
Hearts of Oak
0 : 0
Karela
03 May
Karela
2 : 1
Young Apostles
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Medeama341711652:2862
2Bibiani Gold Stars341931246:4060
3Hearts of Oak341315625:1554
4Dreams FC341571249:3252
5Samartex3413111026:2550
6Aduana Stars3413111029:2450
7Berekum Chelsea341481235:3350
8Asante Kotoko3413101141:2949
9Karela3413101132:3349
10Bechem United341381338:3947
11Vision3412111138:3447
12Holy Stars341371430:3946
13Young Apostles341291337:3745
14Heart of Lions341291336:3345
15Swedru All Blacks341291334:3145
16Nations FC341281430:3144
17Hohoe United34791822:5030
18Eleven Wonders34342726:7313
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)