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Medeama vs Mazembe

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League TNA Park, Tarkwa
Medeama Logo

Medeama

0 - 1
FT
Mazembe Logo

Mazembe

Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Nyembo Ntumba L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Medeama
15%
Draws
58%
Mazembe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mazembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mazembe lately — more wins on the board than Medeama.
  • Win probability leans Mazembe's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Mazembe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mazembe, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Mazembe here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Medeama Clean Sheet 15%
Mazembe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Medeama Mazembe
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 22
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.61 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 CAF Champions League
Mazembe vs Medeama
3:1
Sep 6, 2026 CAF Champions League
Medeama vs Mazembe
0:1
Aug 14, 2016 CAF Confederation Cup
Medeama vs Mazembe
3:2
Jun 19, 2016 CAF Confederation Cup
Mazembe vs Medeama
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Medeama Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Mazembe Compare

Top Goalscorer Nyembo Ntumba L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Medeama 23 / 100
Mazembe 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Medeama Mazembe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mazembe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Medeama found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Mazembe let in goals in 30% of their last 30 matches.

Medeama has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Medeama VS Mazembe
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Medeama

(Home)
12 Sept
Mazembe
3 : 1
Medeama
06 Sept
Medeama
0 : 1
Mazembe
30 Aug
Medeama
2 : 0
Nations FC
12 Aug
ASEC Mimosas
1 : 2
Medeama
08 Aug
SO Armee
2 : 1
Medeama
Page 1 of 6

Mazembe

(Away)
12 Sept
Mazembe
3 : 1
Medeama
06 Sept
Medeama
0 : 1
Mazembe
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Celeste
17 Jun
Don Bosco
0 : 3
Mazembe
14 Jun
Mazembe
0 : 0
St Eloi Lupopo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Wiliete 5
Foresters 0
TBD -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Scottland 1
Nsingizini Hotspurs 0
UD Songo 2
Petro Atletico 3
Mangasport 3
African Stars 3
La Cure Waves 1
Orlando Pirates 3
15 de Agosto 4
Fomboni 0
Mighty Wanderers FC 1
Simba 7
CFFA 3
Lijabatho 1
Gaborone Utd 2
Young Africans 3
Asswehly 4
KVZ 0
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
Aigles du Congo 1
APR 3
Port 1
Zamalek 6
EL Merriekh Bentiu 4
Heegan 0
Mahia 1
Pyramids 7
Aiglons 0
Sidama Bunna 3
Aigle Noir 0
Al-Hilal Omdurman 3
Star Sport Academy 1
Medina United 1
TBD -
Berkane -
Maghreb Fez 4
Rahimo 1
ASC Kara 2
ASEC Mimosas 3
Canchungo 0
Teungueth 2
Colombe 1
Stade Malien 0
Rangers International 3
Sobemap 2
Nigelec 0
MC Alger 5
San Pedro 3
Rivers United 3
Vipers 1
Nouadhibou 1
Saoura 2
Horoya 3
Al-Merreikh 2
Power Dynamos 0
Medeama 1
Mazembe 4
Club Africain 3
Djoliba 2
Final
Wiliete -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Scottland -
Petro Atletico -
African Stars -
Orlando Pirates -
TBD -
Simba -
CFFA -
Young Africans -
Asswehly -
Esperance Tunis -
APR -
Zamalek -
EL Merriekh Bentiu -
Pyramids -
Sidama Bunna -
Al-Hilal Omdurman -
Star Sport Academy -
Berkane -
Maghreb Fez -
ASEC Mimosas -
Teungueth -
Colombe -
Rangers International -
MC Alger -
San Pedro -
Nouadhibou -
Horoya -
Al-Merreikh -
Mazembe -
Club Africain -