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Medina United vs Baalor Sarr Prediction & H2H Stats

Gambia Gambia

FF Cup
Wed, May 20, 2026
0 - 1
04:30 PM
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Medina United
22%
Draws
39%
Baalor Sarr
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Medina United have won more games recently than Baalor Sarr.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Medina United taking it.
  • Medina United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Baalor Sarr, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Medina United Clean Sheet 68%
Baalor Sarr Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Medina United Baalor Sarr
Matches Played 30 4
Wins 14 3
Draws 8 0
Losses 8 1
Goals Scored 1.03 1
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 FF Cup
Medina United vs Baalor Sarr
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Medina United 50 / 100
Baalor Sarr 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Medina United Baalor Sarr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Medina United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Medina United went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Medina United scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Baalor Sarr's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 4 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Medina United VS Baalor Sarr
1.5 Goals Scored 1.33
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.33
63% Over 1.5 33%
50% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Medina United

(Home)
12 Sept
Medina United
1 : 1
Star Sport Academy
05 Sept
Star Sport Academy
0 : 0
Medina United
22 Jun
Gambia Ports
0 : 1
Medina United
17 Jun
Medina United
2 : 1
Dutch Lions
12 Jun
Bombada
0 : 1
Medina United
Page 1 of 6

Baalor Sarr

(Away)
05 Jul
AJ Soccer
1 : 2
Baalor Sarr
02 Jun
Gambia Ports
0 : 1
Baalor Sarr
20 May
Medina United
0 : 1
Baalor Sarr
14 May
Baalor Sarr
0 : 2
Hawks

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
North Star 7
Steve Biko 8
AJ Soccer 3
Kanifing East 0
Gambia Ports 3
Hart Academy 1
Medina United 0
Baalor Sarr 1
Semi-finals
Steve Biko 0
AJ Soccer 1
Gambia Ports 0
Baalor Sarr 1
Final
AJ Soccer 1
Baalor Sarr 2