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Medina United vs TMT

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Colley P.
45' Event
Saine A.
90' Event
Kandeh N.

AI Match Summary

Medina United in this GFA League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Medina United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Medina United
30%
Draws
33%
TMT
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Medina United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • TMT haven't matched Medina United's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Medina United here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Medina United Clean Sheet 68%
TMT Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Medina United TMT
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 8 12
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.06 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.77 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 GFA League
Medina United vs TMT
2:1
Dec 23, 2025 GFA League
TMT vs Medina United
0:2
Jul 12, 2024 FF Cup
Medina United vs TMT
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Medina United Compare

Top Goalscorer Colley P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kandeh N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

TMT Compare

Top Goalscorer Saine A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Medina United 41 / 100
TMT 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Medina United TMT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Medina United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Medina United stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Medina United scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

TMT has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Medina United VS TMT
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Medina United

(Home)
12 Sept
Medina United
1 : 1
Star Sport Academy
05 Sept
Star Sport Academy
0 : 0
Medina United
22 Jun
Gambia Ports
0 : 1
Medina United
17 Jun
Medina United
2 : 1
Dutch Lions
12 Jun
Bombada
0 : 1
Medina United
Page 1 of 7

TMT

(Away)
22 Jun
Team Rhino
1 : 2
TMT
16 Jun
TMT
1 : 1
Hawks
11 Jun
Dutch Lions
3 : 4
TMT
04 Jun
TMT
0 : 1
Bombada
25 May
Hart Academy
0 : 1
TMT
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medina United 30 16 6 8 34:25 54
2 Fortune 30 14 11 5 33:21 53
3 Gambia Ports 30 12 11 7 26:18 47
4 Bombada 30 11 11 8 36:32 44
5 Brikama United 30 11 10 9 37:33 43
6 Real Banjul 30 9 14 7 30:25 41
7 BST Galaxy 30 9 12 9 29:32 39
8 Hart Academy 30 9 11 10 36:34 38
9 Team Rhino 30 9 10 11 26:29 37
10 Falcons 30 7 14 9 19:24 35
11 Dutch Lions 30 7 13 10 33:33 34
12 Greater Tomorrow 30 8 10 12 25:35 34
13 Hawks 30 7 12 11 25:31 33
14 TMT 30 7 12 11 20:29 33
15 Samger 30 6 14 10 23:27 32
16 Steve Biko 30 5 15 10 24:28 30
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - GFA League (Relegation - Play Offs)