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Medjimurje vs Virovitica

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL North Stadion SRC Mladost
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Medjimurje play Virovitica in the 3. HNL North. Medjimurje are favorites here. Recently, Medjimurje averaged 1.11 goals scored and 2.09 conceded. Virovitica averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Medjimurje won 2, Virovitica won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 6, 2021 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Medjimurje and 1.88 for Virovitica. This points to a Medjimurje double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Medjimurje
15%
Draws
28%
Virovitica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Medjimurje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Medjimurje picked up more points recently compared to Virovitica.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Medjimurje Clean Sheet 10%
Virovitica Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Medjimurje Virovitica
Matches Played 45 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 2 4
Losses 29 20
Goals Scored 1.11 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.09 2.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2021 3. HNL North
Medjimurje vs Virovitica
3:0
Aug 21, 2021 3. HNL North
Virovitica vs Medjimurje
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Medjimurje 53 / 100
Virovitica 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Medjimurje Virovitica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Medjimurje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Medjimurje & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Medjimurje attacking → ← attacking Virovitica

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Medjimurje scored in 53% of their last 45 games.

Virovitica let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Medjimurje went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Virovitica lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 22
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1NK Polet22170561:1751
2Mladost Zdralovi22155245:1550
3Bjelovar22143553:2645
4Radnik Krizevci22142657:2544
5Medjimurje22123740:3339
6Podravina Ludbreg2287735:4131
7Papuk Orahovica22741132:4325
8Varteks Varazdin (2011)22641220:3922
9NK Koprivnica22381124:4317
10Virovitica22521525:5217
11Podravac Virje22441423:5016
12Rudar Mursko Sredisce22441425:5616