Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Aziz O.
81'
81'
Mesmia I.
90'
90'
Mesmia I.
AI Match Summary
AS Agareb in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AS Agareb.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
35%
46%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AS Agareb
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Megrine at 1.03 per game, AS Agareb at 1.
- AS Agareb are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Megrine Clean Sheet 22%
AS Agareb Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Megrine | AS Agareb |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 2, 2026 Ligue 2
Megrine vs AS Agareb
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Ligue 2
AS Agareb vs Megrine
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Megrine Compare
Top Goalscorer Aziz O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
AS Agareb Compare
Top Goalscorer Mesmia I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ben Salem S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Megrine 29 / 100
AS Agareb 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Megrine AS Agareb
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AS Agareb Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Megrine scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
AS Agareb's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Megrine stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Megrine VS AS Agareb
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Megrine
(Home) 11 May
Bousalem
2 : 2 Megrine
01 May
Megrine
1 : 1 BS Bouhajla
27 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 1 Megrine
18 Apr
Megrine
0 : 0 EM Mahdia
13 Apr
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0 Megrine
Page 1 of 6
01 May
Megrine
1 : 1 BS Bouhajla
18 Apr
Megrine
0 : 0 EM Mahdia
04 Apr
Megrine
1 : 1 Kerkennah
28 Feb
Megrine
0 : 1 US Tataouine
02 Feb
Megrine
1 : 2 AS Agareb
Page 1 of 3
AS Agareb
(Away) 11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1 AS Agareb
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0 Msaken
27 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 1 AS Agareb
21 Apr
AS Agareb
1 : 0 BS Bouhajla
13 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
0 : 1 AS Agareb
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1 AS Agareb
27 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 1 AS Agareb
13 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
0 : 1 AS Agareb
29 Mar
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0 AS Agareb
22 Feb
Menzel Bourguiba
1 : 1 AS Agareb
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
