Sport Picks
Match Events
78'
78'
Touhami H.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to EM Mahdia lately — more wins on the board than Megrine.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Megrine here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Megrine Clean Sheet 20%
EM Mahdia Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Megrine | EM Mahdia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Ligue 2
Megrine vs EM Mahdia
0:0
Nov 22, 2025 Ligue 2
EM Mahdia vs Megrine
0:1
May 24, 2025 Ligue 2
EM Mahdia vs Megrine
1:3
Jan 4, 2025 Ligue 2
Megrine vs EM Mahdia
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Megrine 31 / 100
EM Mahdia 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Megrine EM Mahdia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Megrine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Megrine went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
EM Mahdia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
EM Mahdia lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Megrine VS EM Mahdia
0.75 Goals Scored 0.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Megrine
(Home) 26 Sept
AS Gabes
1 : 2 Megrine
11 May
Bousalem
2 : 2 Megrine
01 May
Megrine
1 : 1 BS Bouhajla
27 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 1 Megrine
18 Apr
Megrine
0 : 0 EM Mahdia
Page 1 of 6
01 May
Megrine
1 : 1 BS Bouhajla
18 Apr
Megrine
0 : 0 EM Mahdia
04 Apr
Megrine
1 : 1 Kerkennah
28 Feb
Megrine
0 : 1 US Tataouine
02 Feb
Megrine
1 : 2 AS Agareb
Page 1 of 3
EM Mahdia
(Away) 26 Sept
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 2 EM Mahdia
10 Sept
EM Mahdia
3 : 0 Ksour Essef
11 May
EM Mahdia
1 : 3 Kerkennah
01 May
Menzel Bourguiba
1 : 0 EM Mahdia
27 Apr
EM Mahdia
0 : 1 US Tataouine
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 2 EM Mahdia
01 May
Menzel Bourguiba
1 : 0 EM Mahdia
18 Apr
Megrine
0 : 0 EM Mahdia
05 Apr
AS Agareb
0 : 0 EM Mahdia
23 Mar
Ajim Djerba
2 : 0 EM Mahdia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
