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Megrine vs Kerkennah

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Taher Guetaifi M.
84' Event
Nalouti R.

AI Match Summary

Megrine host Kerkennah in the Ligue 2. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Megrine at 0.63 goals for, 1.25 against; Kerkennah at 1.25 for, 0.88 against. Past meetings favor Megrine slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (0.76 xG vs 1.25) point toward Megrine. Megrine in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Megrine
6%
Draws
90%
Kerkennah
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kerkennah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kerkennah has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Megrine.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Kerkennah.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Ligue 2 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Megrine Clean Sheet 19%
Kerkennah Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Megrine Kerkennah
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Ligue 2
Megrine vs Kerkennah
1:1
Nov 7, 2025 Ligue 2
Kerkennah vs Megrine
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Megrine Compare

Top Goalscorer Taher Guetaifi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Kerkennah Compare

Top Goalscorer Nalouti R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Megrine 10 / 100
Kerkennah 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Megrine Kerkennah

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Megrine scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Kerkennah let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Megrine went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kerkennah lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Megrine VS Kerkennah
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hamam-Sousse26156540:1951
2Hammam-Lif26156536:1451
3US Tataouine26156534:1651
4Sfax Railways26137635:2646
5Sporting Ben Arous26810830:1934
6Kerkennah26810827:2734
7Chebba2689933:3733
8Msaken26710923:2831
9BS Bouhajla26791021:2330
10Megrine26791025:3530
11EM Mahdia266101018:2528
12AS Agareb26771222:3328
13Bousalem26671319:3425
14Menzel Bourguiba26381515:4217
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PS Sakiet Eddaier26168254:1556
2Stade Gabesien26158343:1653
3Kasserine26145731:1847
4Jendouba Sport26911634:2438
5Korba26910721:2037
6Bouchamma2698935:3035
7Gafsa26971028:3134
8Ariana26881026:3232
9Ksour Essef26951240:3432
10Redeyef26881027:3932
11Kalaa26931428:4430
12Moknine26781129:3629
13Djelma26681216:3326
14Sidi Bouzid26351817:5714