Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Megrine vs US Tataouine

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Ayari H.

AI Match Summary

US Tataouine in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored US Tataouine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Megrine
35%
Draws
45%
US Tataouine
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: US Tataouine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • US Tataouine have won more games recently than Megrine.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • US Tataouine have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Megrine Clean Sheet 20%
US Tataouine Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Megrine US Tataouine
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.97 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Ligue 2
Megrine vs US Tataouine
0:1
Jan 11, 2026 Tunisia Cup
US Tataouine vs Megrine
3:0
Oct 25, 2025 Ligue 2
US Tataouine vs Megrine
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Megrine Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

US Tataouine Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayari H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Megrine 36 / 100
US Tataouine 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Megrine US Tataouine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick US Tataouine Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Megrine went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Megrine's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

US Tataouine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 41% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Megrine VS US Tataouine
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Megrine

(Home)
11 May
Bousalem
2 : 2
Megrine
01 May
Megrine
1 : 1
BS Bouhajla
27 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 1
Megrine
18 Apr
Megrine
0 : 0
EM Mahdia
13 Apr
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0
Megrine
Page 1 of 6

US Tataouine

(Away)
25 May
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0
US Tataouine
11 May
BS Bouhajla
0 : 1
US Tataouine
01 May
US Tataouine
1 : 0
Sporting Ben Arous
27 Apr
EM Mahdia
0 : 1
US Tataouine
22 Apr
US Tataouine
1 : 2
Hammam-Lif
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)