Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Meiendorfer SV vs VfL Lohbrugge

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Meiendorfer SV play VfL Lohbrugge in the Oberliga Hamburg 2021/2022. VfL Lohbrugge are favorites here. Recently, Meiendorfer SV averaged 0.86 goals scored and 3.83 conceded. VfL Lohbrugge averaged 1.3 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. In past meetings, Meiendorfer SV won 0, VfL Lohbrugge won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 29, 2022 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Meiendorfer SV and 3.19 for VfL Lohbrugge. This points to a VfL Lohbrugge double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Meiendorfer SV
16%
Draws
63%
VfL Lohbrugge
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: VfL Lohbrugge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Meiendorfer SV picked up more points recently compared to VfL Lohbrugge.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 3.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Meiendorfer SV Clean Sheet 10%
VfL Lohbrugge Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Meiendorfer SV VfL Lohbrugge
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 2 7
Draws 3 2
Losses 24 21
Goals Scored 0.86 1.3
Goals Conceded 3.83 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
Meiendorfer SV vs VfL Lohbrugge
0:2
Oct 9, 2021 Oberliga Hamburg
VfL Lohbrugge vs Meiendorfer SV
1:0
Feb 6, 2021 Oberliga Hamburg
VfL Lohbrugge vs Meiendorfer SV
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Meiendorfer SV 21 / 100
VfL Lohbrugge 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Meiendorfer SV VfL Lohbrugge

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VfL Lohbrugge Win (2)
Secondary Pick VfL Lohbrugge & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Meiendorfer SV attacking → ← attacking VfL Lohbrugge

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Meiendorfer SV scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

VfL Lohbrugge let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Meiendorfer SV went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

VfL Lohbrugge lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 23
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
5.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dassendorf18161163:1249
2Sasel18123351:2639
3TSV Concordia18103542:2433
4Paloma1896334:2733
5Curslack-Neuengamme1893650:3030
6VfL Lohbrugge18621022:3420
7Barmbek-Uhlenhorst18521131:5317
8Hamm United18511219:4416
9Bramfelder SV18331229:4812
10Meiendorfer SV18221415:588
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Niendorfer TSV16112343:2535
2SC Victoria Hamburg1675434:2426
3HEBC Hamburg1675440:3526
4TSV Buchholz 081666434:3124
5TuS Osdorf1672737:3123
6Suderelbe1655632:3920
7Hamburger III1645737:5217
8Rugenbergen1644820:2916
9Tornesch16401232:4312