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Stadium Background

Meizhou Hakka vs Changchun Yatai

China China

League One Wuhua County Olympic Sports Centre
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Triboulet V.
Assist: Sakhi H.
20' Event
Yu Wai-Lim
Own Goal
38' Event
Tan Long
Assist: Omoijuanfo O.

AI Match Summary

Changchun Yatai in this League One matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Changchun Yatai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Meizhou Hakka
28%
Draws
22%
Changchun Yatai
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Meizhou Hakka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Meizhou Hakka haven't matched Changchun Yatai's recent run of results.
  • Meizhou Hakka are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Meizhou Hakka Clean Sheet 13%
Changchun Yatai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Meizhou Hakka Changchun Yatai
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 League One
Meizhou Hakka vs Changchun Yatai
1:3
Aug 16, 2025 Super League
Changchun Yatai vs Meizhou Hakka
1:0
Apr 11, 2025 Super League
Meizhou Hakka vs Changchun Yatai
1:3
Aug 17, 2024 Super League
Meizhou Hakka vs Changchun Yatai
2:1
Apr 26, 2024 Super League
Changchun Yatai vs Meizhou Hakka
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Meizhou Hakka Compare

Top Goalscorer Triboulet V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Changchun Yatai Compare

Top Goalscorer Tan Long
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salazar J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Meizhou Hakka 48 / 100
Changchun Yatai 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Meizhou Hakka Changchun Yatai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Changchun Yatai conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Meizhou Hakka scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Meizhou Hakka stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Meizhou Hakka VS Changchun Yatai
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guangdong GZ-Power15103228:1433
2Shenzhen Juniors1575326:1826
3Nantong Zhiyun1475214:1026
4Guangxi Hengchen1474322:1325
5Yanbian Longding1567221:1225
6Ningbo Professional1583420:1624
7Wuxi Wugou1455426:1720
8Shaanxi Union1454519:1219
9Nanjing City1553714:1618
10Dingnan Ganlian1538421:2517
11Dalian Kun City1444619:2216
12Changchun Yatai1461721:2715
13Meizhou Hakka1552815:2914
14Shijiazhuang Gongfu152497:1810
15Foshan Nanshi1524916:2910
16Suzhou Dongwu1524911:227