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Meizhou Hakka vs Dingnan Ganlian

China China

League One Wuhua County Olympic Sports Centre
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Meizhou Hakka play Dingnan Ganlian in the League One. It looks like a close match. Recently, Meizhou Hakka averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. Dingnan Ganlian averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Meizhou Hakka won 0, Dingnan Ganlian won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Meizhou Hakka and 1.69 for Dingnan Ganlian. This points to a Dingnan Ganlian double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Meizhou Hakka
39%
Draws
31%
Dingnan Ganlian
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Dingnan Ganlian has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Meizhou Hakka.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in League One provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Meizhou Hakka Clean Sheet 68%
Dingnan Ganlian Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Meizhou Hakka Dingnan Ganlian
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 5 11
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 League One
Meizhou Hakka vs Dingnan Ganlian
2:2
Aug 6, 2021 League One
Meizhou Hakka vs Dingnan Ganlian
2:3
Jul 16, 2021 League One
Dingnan Ganlian vs Meizhou Hakka
3:2
Oct 19, 2019 League One
Meizhou Hakka vs Dingnan Ganlian
1:2
Jun 15, 2019 League One
Dingnan Ganlian vs Meizhou Hakka
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Meizhou Hakka Compare

Top Goalscorer Feng Gang
1 Goals
Assists Leader Triboulet V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Dingnan Ganlian Compare

Top Goalscorer Daciel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tang Shi
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Meizhou Hakka 41 / 100
Dingnan Ganlian 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Meizhou Hakka Dingnan Ganlian

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Meizhou Hakka scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Dingnan Ganlian let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Meizhou Hakka went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dingnan Ganlian lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Meizhou Hakka VS Dingnan Ganlian
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guangdong GZ-Power1493227:1430
2Shenzhen Juniors1474326:1825
3Yanbian Longding1466221:1224
4Nantong Zhiyun1365212:923
5Guangxi Hengchen1364319:1322
6Shaanxi Union1354419:919
7Ningbo Professional1363418:1618
8Nanjing City1453614:1518
9Wuxi Wugou1345421:1617
10Dingnan Ganlian1438321:2417
11Dalian Kun City1344519:2016
12Changchun Yatai1361620:2215
13Meizhou Hakka1442813:2911
14Foshan Nanshi1324715:2610
15Shijiazhuang Gongfu142397:189
16Suzhou Dongwu1423911:226