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Meizhou Hakka vs Guangxi Hengchen

China China

League One Wuhua County Olympic Sports Centre
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Luan H.
45' Event
Ardazishvili R.
(Penalty)
45'
Li S.

AI Match Summary

The League One game between Meizhou Hakka and Guangxi Hengchen finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Meizhou Hakka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Meizhou Hakka
40%
Draws
29%
Guangxi Hengchen
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Guangxi Hengchen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Meizhou Hakka Clean Sheet 11%
Guangxi Hengchen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Meizhou Hakka Guangxi Hengchen
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 1.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 League One
Meizhou Hakka vs Guangxi Hengchen
2:1
May 20, 2025 FA Cup
Guangxi Hengchen vs Meizhou Hakka
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Meizhou Hakka Compare

Top Goalscorer Triboulet V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yang Chaosheng
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Guangxi Hengchen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Meizhou Hakka 30 / 100
Guangxi Hengchen 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Meizhou Hakka Guangxi Hengchen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Meizhou Hakka found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Meizhou Hakka remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Guangxi Hengchen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Meizhou Hakka VS Guangxi Hengchen
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guangdong GZ-Power1493227:1430
2Shenzhen Juniors1474326:1825
3Yanbian Longding1466221:1224
4Nantong Zhiyun1365212:923
5Guangxi Hengchen1364319:1322
6Ningbo Professional1473419:1621
7Shaanxi Union1354419:919
8Nanjing City1453614:1518
9Wuxi Wugou1345421:1617
10Dingnan Ganlian1438321:2417
11Dalian Kun City1344519:2016
12Changchun Yatai1361620:2215
13Meizhou Hakka1442813:2911
14Foshan Nanshi1424815:2710
15Shijiazhuang Gongfu142397:189
16Suzhou Dongwu1423911:226