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Meizhou Hakka vs Shenzhen Juniors

China China

League One Wuhua County Olympic Sports Centre
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Su Yuanjie
Assist: Zhao Yingjie
21'
Sub
Nur Sherzat In: Liang Jiahao
Out: Nur Sherzat
25' Event
Rodrigo Henrique
Assist: Shi Yucheng

AI Match Summary

Meizhou Hakka host Shenzhen Juniors in the League One. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Meizhou Hakka at 1.25 goals for, 1.88 against; Shenzhen Juniors at 2.13 for, 1.25 against. Head-to-head, Meizhou Hakka have won 0 to Shenzhen Juniors's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 2.00, favoring Shenzhen Juniors. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Meizhou Hakka
30%
Draws
34%
Shenzhen Juniors
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Meizhou Hakka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Shenzhen Juniors has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Meizhou Hakka.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Meizhou Hakka.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in League One provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Meizhou Hakka Clean Sheet 10%
Shenzhen Juniors Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Meizhou Hakka Shenzhen Juniors
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 League One
Meizhou Hakka vs Shenzhen Juniors
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Meizhou Hakka Compare

Top Goalscorer Triboulet V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Shenzhen Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Su Yuanjie
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodrigo Henrique
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Meizhou Hakka 34 / 100
Shenzhen Juniors 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Meizhou Hakka Shenzhen Juniors

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Meizhou Hakka scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Shenzhen Juniors let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Meizhou Hakka went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Shenzhen Juniors lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Meizhou Hakka VS Shenzhen Juniors
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guangdong GZ-Power1493227:1430
2Yanbian Longding1466221:1224
3Shenzhen Juniors1373323:1524
4Nantong Zhiyun1365212:923
5Guangxi Hengchen1364319:1322
6Shaanxi Union1354419:919
7Ningbo Professional1363418:1618
8Nanjing City1453614:1518
9Wuxi Wugou1345421:1617
10Dalian Kun City1344519:2016
11Dingnan Ganlian1337318:2116
12Changchun Yatai1361620:2215
13Meizhou Hakka1442813:2911
14Foshan Nanshi1324715:2610
15Shijiazhuang Gongfu142397:189
16Suzhou Dongwu1423911:226