Sport Picks
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC vs Negele Arsi Ketema FC Prediction & H2H Stats
Ethiopia
Premier League 2025/2026 
Match Events
19'
19'
Amha M.
27'
27'
Brhane Z.
59'
59'
Kasa F.
AI Match Summary
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mekelle 70 Enderta FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Negele Arsi Ketema FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Negele Arsi Ketema FC lately — more wins on the board than Mekelle 70 Enderta FC.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Mekelle 70 Enderta FC taking it.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Clean Sheet 20%
Negele Arsi Ketema FC Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | Negele Arsi Ketema FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 12 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.77 | 0.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 1, 2026 Premier League
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC vs Negele Arsi Ketema FC
3:0
Feb 5, 2026 Premier League
Negele Arsi Ketema FC vs Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Amha M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Brhane Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28
Negele Arsi Ketema FC Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC 36 / 100
Negele Arsi Ketema FC 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Negele Arsi Ketema FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Mekelle 70 Enderta FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Mekelle 70 Enderta FC scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.
Negele Arsi Ketema FC has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC VS Negele Arsi Ketema FC
0.25 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
(Home) 01 Jul
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
3 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
26 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
3 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
21 Jun
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0 Adama City
16 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
0 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
30 May
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
Page 1 of 6
01 Jul
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
3 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
21 Jun
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0 Adama City
30 May
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
15 May
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
1 : 1 Ethiopian Insurance
05 May
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 2 Arba Menche
Page 1 of 3
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
(Away) 01 Jul
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
3 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
26 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
20 Jun
Sidama Bunna
1 : 1 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1 Hawassa
04 Jun
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
Page 1 of 6
01 Jul
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
3 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
20 Jun
Sidama Bunna
1 : 1 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
04 Jun
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
14 May
Mechal SC
4 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
06 May
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 2 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
