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Melaka FC vs Negeri Sembilan FA - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malaysia Malaysia

Super League Hang Jebat Stadium, Malacca
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Match Events

20' Event
Minagawa Y.
27'
Kumar A.
33' Event
Agbre N.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Melaka FC and Negeri Sembilan FA finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Melaka FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Melaka FC
15%
Draws
49%
Negeri Sembilan FA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Negeri Sembilan FA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Melaka FC haven't matched Negeri Sembilan FA's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Melaka FC's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Melaka FC have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Melaka FC Clean Sheet 14%
Negeri Sembilan FA Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melaka FC Negeri Sembilan FA
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 5 11
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Super League
Melaka FC vs Negeri Sembilan FA
2:1
May 3, 2026 Super League
Negeri Sembilan FA vs Melaka FC
0:0
Dec 6, 2025 Super League
Melaka FC vs Negeri Sembilan FA
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Melaka FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Agbre N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Christian
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Negeri Sembilan FA Compare

Top Goalscorer Minagawa Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melaka FC 39 / 100
Negeri Sembilan FA 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melaka FC Negeri Sembilan FA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melaka FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Melaka FC scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Negeri Sembilan FA conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Negeri Sembilan FA lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Melaka FC VS Negeri Sembilan FA
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Melaka FC

(Home)
12 Sept
Melaka FC
1 : 2
Kuching City FC
09 Sept
Penang
2 : 1
Melaka FC
06 Sept
Selangor
3 : 2
Melaka FC
02 Sept
Melaka FC
0 : 1
Penang
30 Aug
Melaka FC
2 : 1
Negeri Sembilan FA
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Negeri Sembilan FA

(Away)
11 Sept
Johor DT
3 : 0
Negeri Sembilan FA
08 Sept
Negeri Sembilan FA
3 : 2
Kelantan City
05 Sept
Negeri Sembilan FA
2 : 2
Star City
02 Sept
Kelantan City
2 : 0
Negeri Sembilan FA
30 Aug
Melaka FC
2 : 1
Negeri Sembilan FA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Johor DT 5 5 0 0 25:0 15
2 Kuching City FC 5 4 0 1 15:4 12
3 Selangor 4 4 0 0 13:3 12
4 Sabah 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
5 DPMM 4 2 0 2 3:5 6
6 Kuala Lumpur City 5 2 0 3 4:13 6
7 Terengganu 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
8 Negeri Sembilan FA 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
9 Penang 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
10 Melaka FC 4 1 0 3 5:9 3
11 Star City 4 0 2 2 4:13 2
12 Kelantan Red Warrior 5 0 0 5 4:24 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)