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Melaka FC vs Penang - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malaysia Malaysia

FA Cup Hang Jebat Stadium, Malacca
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Obilor F.
90'
Porteria O.
90' Event
Sherman K.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Melaka FC
15%
Draws
59%
Penang
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Penang come out ahead of Melaka FC on wins alone.
  • 26% — that's where the model lands on Melaka FC taking it.
  • Penang arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Penang, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Penang here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Melaka FC Clean Sheet 19%
Penang Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melaka FC Penang
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 6 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 FA Cup
Penang vs Melaka FC
2:1
Sep 2, 2026 FA Cup
Melaka FC vs Penang
0:1
Jan 11, 2026 Super League
Penang vs Melaka FC
5:0
Sep 15, 2025 FA Cup
Penang vs Melaka FC
3:0
Aug 17, 2025 FA Cup
Melaka FC vs Penang
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Melaka FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Penang Compare

Top Goalscorer Obilor F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melaka FC 49 / 100
Penang 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melaka FC Penang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melaka FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Melaka FC scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Penang's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Melaka FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Melaka FC VS Penang
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Melaka FC

(Home)
12 Sept
Melaka FC
1 : 2
Kuching City FC
09 Sept
Penang
2 : 1
Melaka FC
06 Sept
Selangor
3 : 2
Melaka FC
02 Sept
Melaka FC
0 : 1
Penang
30 Aug
Melaka FC
2 : 1
Negeri Sembilan FA
Page 1 of 6

Penang

(Away)
09 Oct
Johor DT
4 : 1
Penang
20 Sept
Penang
2 : 7
Johor DT
12 Sept
Penang
3 : 2
Kelantan Red Warrior
09 Sept
Penang
2 : 1
Melaka FC
05 Sept
Terengganu
0 : 0
Penang
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
DPMM 5
Terengganu 4
Perak 0
Kuala Lumpur City 1
Melaka FC 1
Penang 3
Damansara 1
Johor DT 14
Kedah 2
Star City 4
Sabah 3
Selangor 4
Kelantan City 4
Negeri Sembilan FA 3
Kelantan Red Warrior 1
Kuching City FC 5
Quarter-finals
DPMM 4
Kuala Lumpur City 3
Penang 3
Johor DT 11
Star City 1
Selangor 6
Kelantan City 1
Kuching City FC 4
Semi-finals
TBD -
Johor DT -
TBD -
Kuching City FC -
Final
TBD -
TBD -