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Melbo vs Fauske Sprint Prediction & H2H Stats

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 11 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 11 2015 game between Melbo and Fauske Sprint finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fauske Sprint.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Melbo
15%
Draws
76%
Fauske Sprint
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fauske Sprint

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Fauske Sprint carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Fauske Sprint a 76% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Melbo Clean Sheet 10%
Fauske Sprint Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melbo Fauske Sprint
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 11 18
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.63 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.84
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2016 Division 3 - Group 11
Melbo vs Fauske Sprint
1:2
Jun 11, 2016 Division 3 - Group 11
Fauske Sprint vs Melbo
5:5
Sep 19, 2015 Division 3 - Group 11
Fauske Sprint vs Melbo
1:3
Jun 6, 2015 Division 3 - Group 11
Melbo vs Fauske Sprint
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melbo 10 / 100
Fauske Sprint 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melbo Fauske Sprint

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fauske Sprint Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melbo's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Fauske Sprint conceded in 95% of 38 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.75 goals.

Solid form: Melbo remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fauske Sprint
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Melbo

(Home)
13 Apr
Melbo
0 : 1
Sortland
30 Oct
Melbo
1 : 3
Bodo/Glimt 2
23 Oct
Ullern
4 : 0
Melbo
17 Oct
Melbo
1 : 1
Skeid 2
10 Oct
Nordstrand
3 : 1
Melbo
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Fauske Sprint

(Away)
27 Sept
Fauske Sprint
0 : 3
Tromso 2
20 Sept
Lillestrom 2
2 : 4
Fauske Sprint
14 Sept
Fauske Sprint
5 : 3
Stromsgodset 2
05 Sept
Ulfstind
1 : 6
Fauske Sprint
30 Aug
Fauske Sprint
1 : 5
Alta
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